摘要
2018年,世界经济整体增速与上一年持平,但是大多数国家出现了经济增速回落的情况。全球失业率仍然保持低位,充分就业状况和大宗商品价格上涨促使各国通货膨胀率有所提高。同时,世界经济还表现出国际贸易增速放缓、国际直接投资活动低迷、全球债务水平持续提高和金融市场出现动荡等特征。未来世界经济面临诸多挑战,这些挑战包括:美国经济下行的可能性较大,金融市场可能进一步出现剧烈动荡,各主要国家应对下一轮经济衰退的政策空间受到限制,全球贸易摩擦可能带来较大负面影响,逆全球化措施将阻碍国际贸易和投资的发展。地缘政治风险、民粹主义和民族主义的扩张等问题也将影响世界经济的稳定与发展。预计2019年按PPP计算的世界GDP增长率约为3.5%。
The overall growth rate of the world economy in 2018 was the same as that of the previous year,but most countries experienced a slowdown in economic growth.The global unemployment rate remained low and inflation rate in various countries was slightly increased due to sufficient employment and rising commodity price.At the same time,the world economy was also characterized by slow growth in international trade,sluggish direct international investment activities,continuously increasing global debt level and turmoil in financial markets.It is estimated that the world GDP growth rate calculated by PPP will be about 3.5%in 2019.
出处
《中国经济报告》
2019年第2期130-137,共8页
CHINA POLICY REVIEW
关键词
世界经济
国际贸易
国际投资
国际金融
World Economy
International Trade
International Investment
International Finance
