摘要
采用价格数据平稳性检验、格兰杰因果关系检验、向量自回归模型等方法,对我国农产品价格普遍上涨的原因进行理论研究与实证探索。结果表明:我国各种农产品价格存在相关性。在我国农产品市场中,由水产品、鲜菜、鲜果、肉禽及其制成品所构成的鲜活农产品价格与粮食市场价格波动相关性不大;但由于水产品、鲜果、肉类相关农产品的特殊性,导致了鲜活农产品市场内部价格变动相关性较大。因此,重视各种农产品的关联性,有助于调控农产品市场价格。
This paper uses price data stability test,Granger causality test,vector autoregressive model and other methods to carry out the theoretical research and empirical exploration of the reasons for the general rise of agricultural product prices in China.The results show that there is a correlation between the prices of various agricultural products in China.In China’s agricultural product market,the prices of fresh agricultural products consisting of aquatic products,fresh vegetables,fresh fruits,meat and poultry and their finished products are not related to the fluctuation of grain market prices.However,due to the particularity of aquatic products,fresh fruits,meat-related agricultural products,the internal price changes of fresh agricultural product market are highly correlated.Therefore,attaching importance to the relevance of various agricultural products will help regulate the market price of agricultural products.
作者
胡西娟
杨建飞
徐建卫
HU Xi-juan;YANG Jian-fei;XU Jian-wei(School of Economics and Management,Northwest University,Xi'an,Shaanxi710127;School of Economics,Northwest University of Political Science and Law,Xi'an,Shaanxi710122;Institute of Belt and RoadStrategic Studies,Tsinghua University,Beijing100084)
出处
《价格月刊》
北大核心
2019年第8期27-31,共5页
基金
第64批中国博士后科学基金“中国货币供应量区域非均衡分布的测度及其形成机制研究”（编号：2018M641306)
2019年西安市社会科学规划基金课题“西安市商会组织发育及其对推动民营经济高质量发展的作用发挥研究”（编号：19J193）
关键词
农产品市场
农产品价格
价格上涨
agricultural product market
agricultural product prices
price rise
