摘要
处于"影系统"中的金融资产价值的虚幻化、金融资产价格的自我膨胀以及外部传染是一国发生金融危机的三个基本原因。因此,应以能灵敏反映金融资产价值的虚幻程度、金融系统自身的涨落和受国际金融环境的影响及其承受力为标准来选择预警指标,并运用经济控制论的基本原理来采取防范措施。
Financial crisis results from three fundamental causes,namely,the illusion of the value of financial assets within the shadow system,the self expanding of the price of financial assets and the infection from other countries.So,early warning indicators should be selected according to whether it can sensitively reflect the extent of illussory value of financial assets, the fluctuation in the financial system itself,and effects of international financial environment as well as its supporting capability.We should apply the fundamental principle of economic cybernetics to take measures to prevent financial crisis.
出处
《财经研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2003年第2期17-23,共7页
Journal of Finance and Economics
关键词
金融系统
金融危机
预警模型
financial system
financial crisis
forecasting and warning model
