摘要
针对三江平原广大井灌水稻区地下水严重紧缺、地下水位持续下降、漏斗与“吊泵”现象时有发生等问题 ,以建三江管局创业农场为例 ,运用随机过程建立随机模型模拟地下水动态变化 ,并预测未来变化趋势 。
Recently, the problem of shorting of groundwater resources is rather serious in San Jiang Plain. More and more funnel and 'hanging pump' appears. The groundwater level descends continually. So, the paper takes Jiang San Jiang Department Chuang Ye Farm as the example, through applying the method of random analyze to building up the non\|stable time series random model. Through using this model, the paper simulates the dynamic varies and forecast the varied trend in the future. The authors want to provide some references for the sustainable development of agriculture and groundwater resources.
出处
《系统工程理论与实践》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
2003年第1期132-138,共7页
Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice
基金
中国博士后科学基金 (2 0 0 0 )
四川大学校青年基金 (4 3 2 0 2 8)
