摘要
在复杂适应系统中,整个系统的复杂行为是从底层自下而上"涌现"的,这种由每个主体的适应性形成整个系统的复杂性的情形可以通过计算机模拟的方式显示出来.复杂系统模拟工具Swarm就是利用这种自下而上的建模思想,对复杂系统进行计算机模拟的软件工具包.文章建立了基于Swarm的洪水灾害的时空演化模拟平台,开展了洪水灾害时空演化的模拟实例研究,得到了一些关于洪水灾害的时空演化规律,对减灾管理具有指导意义.
In complex adaptive system(CAS),the complex behavior of system is emerged from the bottom,that agents′adaptability bottom_up the complexity of the entire system.This idea can be simulated by the method of computer aid simulation.Swarm is such a tools kit based on the bottom_up modeling method that can be used in CAS simulation on computer.This paper developed a Swarm based platform for the simulation of complexity in spatial and temporal evolvement of flood disaster.Its application is illustrated with a Swarm based model and program for simulating flood spreading.Some rules have been elicited from the experimental results,which could provide useful information for the disaster reduction and management.
出处
《管理科学学报》
CSSCI
2002年第6期39-46,共8页
Journal of Management Sciences in China
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(79900002)
国家自然科学基金
长江水利委员会联合资助重大项目(50099620).
