摘要
本文根据灰色预测理论,建立了我国某产业部80年代末期年千人负伤率的预测模型,获得满意的结果,为宏观决策和控制提供了重要依据。本文论述的方法,可以作为宏观技术系统事故伤亡率预测的标准化方法。
According to the grey forecast theory, this paper establishes the grey forecast model of injury rate per 1000 population of some ministry of industry. Based on the model, the forecast of injury rate in 1990s has been carried out, and results have been analysed. The method proposed in the paper can be viewed as the standardization one for the forecast of accident injury and death rate.
出处
《地球科学（中国地质大学学报）》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
1992年第2期223-229,共7页
Earth Science-Journal of China University of Geosciences
