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“一带一路”倡议对中国沿线城市旅游经济发展的 影响效应 ——基于双重差分模型的实证分析

The Impact of the"Belt and Road"Initiative on the Development of the Tourism Economy of Cities Along the Route of China:Empirical Analysis Based on the Difference-in-Differences Model
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摘要 拓展和深化旅游合作是共建“一带一路”的重要内容。文章基于2009—2020年中国271个地级市的面板数据,构建双重差分模型实证考察“一带一路”倡议对沿线城市旅游经济发展的影响及潜在机制。研究发现,“一带一路”倡议对沿线城市旅游经济发挥显著的促进效应,这一影响效应在东部城市、大城市及历史文化名城中更为突出;机制分析表明,“一带一路”倡议通过完善数字信息基础设施、推动技术创新、优化产业结构和提高服务供给水平等渠道推动城市旅游经济发展。研究结论可以为中国通过共建“一带一路”倡议促进旅游高质量发展提供理论依据和政策启示。 Expanding and deepening tourism cooperation is a crucial aspect of the joint construction of the"Belt and Road"Initiative.The article,based on panel data from 271 prefecture-level cities in China from 2009 to 2020,constructs a difference-in-differences model,and empirically examines the impact of the"Belt and Road"Initiative on the development of tourism economy of cities along its route and the potential mechanism.According to the research findings,the"Belt and Road"Initiative plays a significant promoting role in the development of the tourism economy of cities along its route.This impact is more pronounced in eastern cities,large cities,and famous cities with rich historical and cultural heritage.Mechanism analysis indicates that the"Belt and Road"Initiative promotes the development of tourism economy of cities by perfecting digital information infrastructure,driving technological innovation,optimizing industrial structure and improving service supply level.The research conclusion can provide theoretical support and policy insights for China to promote high quality tourism development through"Belt and Road"Initiative cooperation.
作者 高亚佳 黄裕洪 GAO Yajia;HUANG Yuhong(The"Double Eight Strategy"Innovation and Development Research Institute of Zhejiang Province,Hangzhou 310012,China;Research Office,Party School of the Xinchang County Committee of the Communist Party of China,Xinchang 312500,China;School of Economics and Management,South China Normal University,Guangzhou 510006,China)
出处 《华东经济管理》 北大核心 2025年第1期31-40,共10页 East China Economic Management
基金 国家社会科学基金重大项目“乡村振兴与深化农村土地制度改革”(19ZDA115)。
关键词 “一带一路”倡议 旅游经济 高质量发展 区域经济 双重差分模型 The"Belt and Road"Initiative tourism economy high-quality development regional economy difference-in differences model
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