摘要
为了解自然灾害链研究领域的研究进展与趋势,利用CiteSpace文献分析工具对1987—2022年中国知网中关于自然灾害链研究的669篇文献进行了分析,绘制出自然灾害链研究的核心作者群及研究机构、关键词共现、关键词聚类等知识结构图谱,并基于气候变化和可持续发展、学科融合和应急管理现代化的背景,对未来我国灾害链的研究提出了展望。结果表明:①中国自然灾害链相关研究文献数量随时间整体呈现上升趋势,且2007年、2020年的发文量激增,目前仍处于发展阶段;②北大核心期刊的高质量论文占比最大,研究学科集中分布于地质学、安全科学与灾害防治、工业通用技术与设备等学科,论文的基金项目主要来源于国家自然科学基金、国家重点研发计划等;③该研究领域的高产作者为王静爱、肖盛燮、王猛等人,研究力量主要集中在长安大学、中国科学院、北京师范大学等机构;④研究内容主要分为自然灾害链理论基础、重大自然灾害链分析和自然灾害链减灾对策3个部分;⑤自然灾害链风险量化、堰塞湖致因分析和风险评估、基于复杂网络的灾害链关键断链路径研究为现阶段的研究前沿。自然灾害链研究在风险评估、应急响应和灾后重建等方面还有待进一步深入。
This paper uses 669 Chinese literatures on natural disaster chain research from 1987 to 2022 in the CNKI Database to understand the field’s advancements and trends,which produces knowledge structure maps of natural disaster chain research,including major authors,research institutions,keyword co-occurrence,keyword clustering,and other information based on CiteSpace,and a future outlook on the research of natural disaster chain in China is proposed based on climate change and sustainable development,disciplinary integration and modernisation of emergency management.The results show that there is a general upward trend in the number of papers issued on natural disaster chain,with a notable increase between 2007 and 2020.The literature of core journals of Peking University accounts for the largest share,and the distribution of research disciplines is concentrated in geology,safety science and disaster prevention,industrial general technology and equipment,etc.,and the fund of the papers mainly come from the National Natural Science Foundation of China,National Key Research and Development Programmes,etc.In terms of publication institutions and authors,the graph reveals that WANG Jingai,XIAO Shengxie,WANG Meng,etc are the most published authors.The research forces are mainly concentrated in Chang’an University,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing Normal University,etc.Further,the paper recognizes the three sections of the research content on natural disaster chain(natural disaster chain theory,major natural disaster chain analysis and natural disaster chain mitigation countermeasures)and the research frontiers(the risk quantification of natural disaster chain,the causation analysis and risk assessment of barrier lakes,and the research on the key broken link path of disaster chain based on complex network).At present,natural disaster chain research needs to be further explored in the aspects of risk assessment,emergency response and post-disaster reconstruction.
作者
郭海湘
区歌阳
杨钰莹
GUO Haixiang;OU Geyang;YANG Yuying(School of Economics and Management,China University of Geosciences(Wuhan),Wuhan 430078,China;School of Emergency Management,Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044,China)
出处
《安全与环境工程》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2024年第6期118-133,共16页
Safety and Environmental Engineering
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目(23AZD072)
国家自然科学基金项目(72074198,71874165)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(CUG2642022006)
湖北省自然科学基金创新群体项目(2024AFA015)
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(24YJCZH387)
江苏省教育厅高校哲学社会科学研究项目(2024SJYB0148)。
