摘要
加快推进“三农”现代化对于建设中国式现代化具有重要理论价值和实践意义。文章基于西藏2013—2022年数据,从农业现代化、农村现代化与农民现代化3个维度,选取12个指标构建西藏“三农”现代化水平评价指标体系,运用熵权TOPSIS法与灰色关联模型对西藏“三农”现代化水平及其影响因素进行实证分析。结果表明,西藏“三农”现代化水平总体稳中向好;农业现代化维度逐渐成为西藏“三农”现代化发展中的薄弱环节;化肥使用量、粮食总产量、农村就业人数、农村居民平均每百户家用汽车拥有量、农村人均自有住房面积、乡镇卫生人员数是影响西藏“三农”现代化水平的核心因素。因此,着重关注农业机械总动力、农林牧渔总产值、农村用电量、群众文化事业从业人员数、农村人均可支配收入、农村居民人均消费支出6个关联度低于0.8的指标,并提出相应对策建议。
It has a great theoretical and practical significance to better promote the Chinese path to modernization by accelerating the modernization of the“agriculture,rural areas and farmers”.Based on the data of Xizang from 2013 to 2022,this paper selected 12 indicators from the three dimensions of agricultural modernization,rural modernization and peasant modernization to construct an evaluation index system for the modernization level of“agriculture,rural areas and farmers”in Xizang,and used the entropy weight TOPSIS method and grey correlation model to empirically analyze the modernization level and its influencing factors of“agriculture,rural areas and farmers”in Xizang.The results showed that the modernization level of“agriculture,rural areas and farmers”areas in Xizang was generally stable and improving;the dimension of agricultural modernization had gradually become a weak link in the modernization development of Xizang’s“agriculture,rural areas and farmers”areas;the amount of chemical fertilizer usage,the total grain output,the number of rural employees,the average number of cars per 100 rural households,the per capita self-owned housing area in rural areas,and the number of township health personnel were the core factors affecting the modernization level of Xizang’s“agriculture,rural areas and farmers”.Therefore,countermeasures and suggestions were put forward from the six indicators with a correlation degree of less than 0.8,namely,the total power of agricultural machinery,the total output value of agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry and fishery,rural electricity consumption,the number of employees in mass cultural undertakings,the per capita disposable income of rural areas,and the per capita consumption expenditure of rural residents.
作者
窦蒙召
陈拓羽
孙自保
DOU Mengzhao;CHEN Tuoyu;SUN Zibao(Xizang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry College,Linzhi 860000,China;Xizang Rural Economic Development Research Center,Xizang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry College,Linzhi 860000,China)
出处
《现代农业》
2024年第5期38-46,共9页
Modern Agriculture
基金
国家自然科学基金项目“藏族新生代农牧民工市民化研究”(71563044)。
关键词
“三农”现代化水平
中国式现代化
影响因素
西藏自治区
modernization level of“agriculture,rural areas and farmers”
Chinese path to modernization
influencing factors
Xizang Autonomous Region
