摘要
基于2008―2020年安徽省面板数据,采用变异系数、趋势面分析、空间自相关和地理探测器等方法,分析安徽省房价收入比的时空演变及驱动力。研究表明:安徽省的房价收入比整体呈下降趋势,各市的房价收入比空间异质性增强,表现为西高东低,南高北低。安徽省房价收入比在南北方向上倒“U”型趋势减弱,由中心区域向外围递减;总体上各个方向的趋势都逐渐平缓,极化效应减弱。以合肥市为中心的房价收入比空间依赖性显著,处于不断增强的趋势;外围地区空间依赖性较弱。在驱动力方面,不同时期城市人口与经济这两大驱动因素对房价收入比的影响有着明显的差异。
Based on the panel data of Anhui Province from 2008 to 2020,this paper uses the methods of variation coefficient,trend surface analysis,spatial autocorrelation and geographical detector to analyze the spatial and temporal evolution and driving force of housing price-to-income ratio in Anhui Province.The results show that:The housing price-to-income ratio in Anhui Province shows a downward trend as a whole,and the spatial heterogeneity of the housing price-to-income ratio in each city is enhanced,which is characterized by high in the west and low in the east,and high in the south and low in the north.The inverted'U'-shaped trend of housing price-to-income ratio in Anhui Province in the north-south direction is weakened,decreasing from the central region to the periphery.On the whole,the trend in all directions is gradually gentle,and the polarization effect is weakened.The housing price-income ratio centered on Hefei City has a significant spatial dependence and is in a growing trend.The spatial dependence of the surrounding areas is weak.the tertiary industry in Anhui Province was greatly impacted.In terms of driving forces,the two major driving factors of urban population and economy have obvious differences in the impact of housing price-to-income ratio in different periods.Therefore,the main influencing factors leading to the spatial differentiation of housing price-to-income ratio are the proportion of GDP and the second industry,while the influence of the third industry is declining.The research results of this paper can provide policy reference and scientific basis for Anhui Province to carry out macroeconomic regulation of the real estate market and achieve highquality development of the real estate market.
作者
钟洋
刘桂汝
ZHONG Yang;LIU Gui-ru(School of Geographic Sciences,Hunan Normal University,Changsha Hunan,410081,China;Key Laboratory of Urban-Rural Transformation Process and Effect,Hunan Normal University,Changsha Hunan,410081,China;Research Institute of Forest Resource Information Techniques,Chinese Academy of Forestry,Beijing,100091,China)
出处
《安庆师范大学学报（社会科学版）》
2024年第5期69-75,共7页
Journal of Anqing Normal University：Social Science Edition
基金
湖南省自然科学基金青年基金项目“‘双碳’目标下长株潭城市群电力消耗的时空演变、驱动机制及调控路径”(2023JJ40446)
湖南省教育厅优秀青年项目“长株潭城市群人居环境质量评价与空间分异机理研究”(21B0092)
湖南师范大学学位与研究生教学改革研究项目“‘双一流’建设背景下基于OBE理念的复合创新型研究生教育改革实践与探索—以人文地理学专业为例”(22JG09)。
关键词
房价收入比
安徽省
住房价格
House price to income ratio
Anhui Province
house price
