摘要
[目的]工业园区作为我国工业化与城市化发展的重要载体,在提供大量基础设施和公共服务的同时也成为我国碳排放的主要源头,是实现我国碳达峰、碳中和目标的重要切入点和着力点。为实现工业园区碳排放精细化管理,提出了工业园区碳排放转移过程分析与“双碳”路径优化决策理论研究框架。[方法]首先,分析工业园区范围内能源、工业、建筑、交通、基础设施等业务场景的碳排放特性,建立基于清单分析法的工业园区碳排放核算模型;其次,考虑工业总产值、产业结构、能源结构、能源消耗量等因素对碳排放的影响,建立基于STIRPAT方法的碳排放影响因素分解模型;最后,分析数字化技术赋能绿色低碳转型的作用机理与影响路径,提出“双碳”路径优化决策方案。[结果]以江西省赣州经开区为研究对象,计算2020—2022年工业园区的碳排放量和碳排放强度,识别碳排放量增加的主要影响因素,从产业结构、能源结构、政策制度和平台建设4个方面规划了工业园区“双碳”转型路径。[结论]研究表明,所提模型能够充分提炼工业园区统计数据的信息,具有科学性和有效性,为工业园区“双碳”转型路径决策与园区数字化碳管理工业互联网平台建设提供了理论支撑。
[Introduction]As an important carrier of China's industrialization and urbanization,industrial parks not only provide a large amount of infrastructure and public services,but also become the main source of carbon emission in China and an important entry and focus point for achieving China's goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality.The paper proposes a theoretical research framework for analyzing the transfer process of carbon emission in industrial parks and optimizing the decision-making process of the"dual carbon"path,in order to achieve the refined management of carbon emission in industrial parks.[Method]Firstly,we analyzed the carbon emission characteristics of energy,industry,construction,transportation,and infrastructure in industrial parks,and established a carbon emission accounting model for industrial parks based on inventory analysis method.Secondly,considering the impact of factors such as gross industrial output value,industrial structure,energy structure,and energy consumption on carbon emission,we established a decomposition model of factors influencing carbon emission based on the STIRPAT method.Finally,we analyzed the mechanism and impact path of digital technology empowering green and low-carbon transformation,and proposed the optimization plan for decision-making of the"dual carbon"path.[Result]Taking Ganzhou economic and technological development zone in Jiangxi Province as the research object,we calculate the carbon emission and carbon emission intensity from 2020 to 2022,identify the main factors influencing the increase of carbon emission,and plan the"dual carbon"transformation path from four aspects:industrial structure,energy structure,policy system,and platform construction.[Conclusion]Research suggests that the proposed model can fully explore the information contained in statistical data of industrial parks and is scientific and effective,providing theoretical support for the decision-making of"dual carbon"transformation path and the construction of industrial internet platform f
作者
王仲
马思明
王婷婷
陶炜
徐婧
WANG Zhong;MA Siming;WANG Tingting;TAO Wei;XU Jing(China Industrial Control Systems Cyber Emergency Response Team,Beijing 100040,China;College of Electrical and Power Engineering,Taiyuan University of Technology,Taiyuan 030024,Shanxi,China)
出处
《南方能源建设》
2024年第5期191-199,共9页
Southern Energy Construction
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目“基于数据挖掘的区域综合能源系统能效状态评价与运行优化策略研究”(51906171)
国家工业信息安全发展研究中心自立青年科研创新项目“工业园区碳排放核算与‘双碳’转型路径研究”(ZL2321001)。
关键词
工业园区
碳排放核算
碳排放影响因素
"双碳"转型路径
工业互联网
industrial parks
carbon emission accounting
factors influencing carbon emission
"dual carbon"transformation path
industrial internet
