摘要
“一带一路”倡议已然历经十年征程,在推动全球共同发展方面取得了不菲的成效,本文基于2005—2021年跨国面板数据,构建了一个基于社会流动性指数的包容性增长指标,以探讨“一带一路”建设对沿线国家经济包容性增长的影响。研究发现:“一带一路”倡议能够显著驱动沿线国家经济包容性增长,且这种影响具有长期效应;“一带一路”倡议的包容性增长效应在处于陆上丝绸之路、经济发展水平较低、内部治理水平较高、对华情感水平较高的参与国中更加突出;“一带一路”建设能够通过基建改善、贸易惠及、政策合作、文化包容、绿色共享五大机制来推动沿线国家经济的包容性增长。本文结果表明:“一带一路”建设已成为中国对包容性增长理念的重要实践,有效弥合了沿线国家的发展鸿沟并助力世界减贫,引领推动包容性全球化新时代的到来。
The Belt and Road Initiative has gone through a decade of journey,and has made great achievements in promoting global common development.Based on the transnational panel data from 2005 to 2021,this paper constructs an inclusive growth indicator based on the social mobility index,and discusses the impact of the Belt and Road on the inclusive growth of the economies of countries along the Belt and Road.The research finds that the Belt and Road Initiative can significantly drive the inclusive economic growth of countries along the Belt and Road,and this impact has long-term effects.The inclusive growth effect of the Belt and Road Initiative is more prominent among the participating countries that are on the Silk Road,with low economic development level,high internal governance level,and high level of emotion towards China.The construction of the Belt and Road can promote inclusive economic growth of countries along the route through five mechanisms:infrastructure improvement,trade benefits,policy cooperation,cultural inclusion,and green sharing.The results of this paper show that the construction of the Belt and Road has become an important practice of China’s concept of inclusive growth,effectively bridging the development gap of countries along the line,helping the world reduce poverty,and leading to the arrival of a new era of inclusive globalization.
作者
张誉夫
谢建国
ZHANG Yufu;XIE Jianguo
出处
《经济问题探索》
CSSCI
北大核心
2024年第7期44-64,共21页
Inquiry Into Economic Issues
基金
国家自然科学基金项目“基于要素生产与要素创造的大国贸易利益分配:逻辑、动力与测度研究”(72073062),项目负责人:谢建国
教育部人文社会科学基金项目“比较优势迁移、生产重构与大国贸易利益分配:机制、影响与评估”(20YJA790074),项目负责人:谢建国。
关键词
“一带一路”倡议
包容性增长
社会流动性函数
多期双重差分
Belt and Road Initiative
Inclusive growth
Social mobility function
Difference-indifferences with multiple time periods
