摘要
农村人口空心化问题严重制约乡村振兴战略的实施,因此分析农村人口空心化特点及其影响因素对乡村振兴战略的实施具有重要意义。基于安徽省2016—2021年6年面板数据,对安徽省16个地级市农村人口空心化程度进行测度分析,从微观层面探讨在乡村振兴战略实施背景下,农村人口空心化现状及发展特征,并利用逐步线性回归方法解析人口空心化的影响因素。结果表明:目前安徽省农村人口空心化程度逐年上升,且地区差异明显,呈现出北高南低的时空分异特征;一、二、三产业增加值、粮食产量、乡村学校数量、农村居民家庭人均可支配收入和城乡收入比是影响人口空心化的主要因素。未来促进一、二、三产业融合、推进城乡教育一体化发展、提高农村居民收入,是治理农村人口空心化的关键。
The issue of depopulation in rural areas severely restricts sustainable development,Therefore,analyzing the characteristics and influencing factors of depopulation in rural areas is of great significance for the implementation of rural revitalization strategies.Based on six years of panel data from 2016 to 2021 in Anhui Province,this paper measures and analyzes the level of depopulation in rural areas of the 16 prefecture-level cities in Anhui Province.From a micro perspective,it explores the current situation and developmental features of depopulation in rural areas under the background of rural revitalization strategies,and uses a stepwise linear regression method to analyze the influencing factors of depopulation.The results indicate that:1)Currently,the degree of hollowing out of rural population in Anhui Province is increasing year by year,and regional differences are obvious,with significant regional differences and a spatial-temporal pattern of high in the north and low in the south.2)The value added of the primary,secondary,and tertiary industries,grain production,the number of rural schools,per capital disposable income of rural residents,and the urban-rural income ratio are the main factors influencing depopulation.In the future,promoting the integration of the primary,secondary,and tertiary industries,advancing the integration of urban and rural education,and improving the income of rural residents are the key measures to govern depopulation in rural areas.
作者
贺小桐
周文静
HE Xiaotong;ZHOU Wenjing(School of Public Administration,Anhui Jianzhu University,Hefei 230022,Anhui)
出处
《阜阳师范大学学报（社会科学版）》
2024年第2期107-114,共8页
Journal of Fuyang Normal University：Social Science
基金
安徽省社会科学创新发展研究课题攻关项目(2021CX094)
安徽省住房城乡建设科学技术计划项目(2023RK037)
安徽建筑大学引进人才及博士启动基金项目(2021QDR03)。
关键词
乡村振兴
人口空心化测度
影响因素
治理路径
Rural Revitalization
measurement of depopulation
influencing factors
governance path
