摘要
为将四水四定落到实处,构建了基于DPSIR-对称交互熵的水—城地人产系统评价模型,通过构建山东省泰安市评价指标体系,开展协调性发展综合评价,进而建立耦合协调度模型评价各子系统间发展协调性。研究表明,各子系统综合评价值呈现波动上升趋势,其中状态(S)和响应(R)子系统波动上升趋势最为稳定,最不稳定的为压力(P)子系统;按照历年系统耦合协调度将2006年以来泰安市水—城地人产系统发展划分为过渡阶段(2006~2010年)、协调发展阶段(2011~2019年)、高质量发展阶段(2020年以后);宁阳县、东平县协调度仍有待提高,未来应当着重推进泰安市水网建设、供、用水结构优化和产业结构升级等工作。研究结果可为泰安市国土空间规划及水利高质量发展提供支持。
To implement the"Basing Four Aspect on Water Resources"strategy,a water-human-land-industry-city system evaluation model based on the DPSIR-symmetric interaction entropy was constructed.Using Tai'an City in Shan-dong Province as an example,by constructing an evaluation index system,a comprehensive evaluation of coordinated de-velopment was carried out.And then a coupling coordination development model was established to evaluate the develop-ment coordination degree among various subsystems.The research showed that the comprehensive evaluation values of each subsystem showed a fluctuating upward trend.Among them,the state(S)and response(R)subsystems showed the most stable fluctuating upward trend,while the pressure(P)subsystem was the most unstable;According to the his-torical system coupling coordination,the development of the water-human-land-industry-city system in Tai'an City since 2006 was divided into the transitional stage(2006-2010),the coordinated development stage(2011-2019),and the high-quality development stage(after 2020);The coordination degree of Ningyang County and Dongping County still needs to be improved.In the future,emphasis should be placed on promoting the construction of Tai'an City's water network,opti-mizing the water supply and demand structure,and upgrading the industrial structure.The above study can provide sup-port for Tai'an City's land and space planning as well as high-quality development of water resources.
作者
潘慧民
门宝辉
王红瑞
李一阳
李永坤
王丽晶
PAN Hui-min;MEN Bao-hui;WANG Hong-rui;LI Yi-yang;LI Yong-kun;WANG Li-jing(School of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China;College of Water Sciences,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China;Beijing Water Science&Technology Institute,Beijing 100048,China)
出处
《水电能源科学》
北大核心
2024年第5期80-83,18,共5页
Water Resources and Power
基金
济南市财政水务科技创新专项经费(JNSWKJ202001)
国家自然科学基金项目(52279005)。
关键词
四水四定
DPSIR模型
对称交互熵
耦合协调度模型
协调性评价
basing four aspect on water resources
DPSIR model
symmetrical cross-entropy
coupling coordination degree model
coordination evaluation
