摘要
2023年,全球天然气市场格局趋于稳定,供需失衡情况缓解,天然气价格逐步下降。国内生产生活秩序恢复,天然气消费重回增长,并在增储上产和管道、液化天然气(LNG)接收站及地下储气库等基础设施建设方面取得了新进展,国内产供储销体系更加健全。2024年,全球天然气供应紧张状态将继续缓解,但供需紧平衡的基本面不会发生逆转,预计国际天然气价格将在2023年水平上进一步回落。在国内经济持续回升向好、国际天然气价格回落的背景下,国内天然气需求将持续增长,供应总体宽松。
In 2023,the global natural gas market moved towards stability,with the supply-demand imbalance easing and natural gas prices gradually declining.Domestic production and living orders were restored,leading to a resurgence in natural gas consumption.Additionally,there was new progress in increasing storage and production capacity,as well as in the construction of pipelines,LNG receiving stations,and underground storage facilities,further strengthening the domestic production-supply-storage-sales system.In 2024,the tension in the global natural gas supply is expected to ease,but the fundamental tight balance between supply and demand will not see a reversal,with international gas prices anticipated to fall further from their 2023 levels.Amid a backdrop of stable domestic economic recovery and declining international natural gas prices,domestic demand for natural gas is expected to continue its growth trajectory,with the overall supply remaining relatively relaxed.
作者
罗大清
刘潇潇
孔欣怡
马莉
高珊珊
Luo Daqing;Liu Xiaoxiao;Kong Xinyi;Ma Li;Gao Shanshan(SINOPEC Economics&Development Research Institute Company Limited,China Petrochemical Consulting Company Limited,Beijing 100029,China)
出处
《当代石油石化》
CAS
2024年第3期1-7,25,共8页
Petroleum & Petrochemical Today