摘要
农民收入的持续稳定增长对于进一步巩固脱贫攻坚成果,实现脱贫地区的乡村振兴具有重要意义。本文基于理论分析构建了农民收入增长动力的分析框架,基于石漠化脱贫地区80个县级行政单位的数据,运用Weaver-Thomas模型测度农民收入增长动力及其组合关系,并运用灰色关联度模型验证农民收入增长动力结构及其稳定性与农民收入水平及增长率的关联性,进而探究研究区域农民收入增长动力的时空演化特征。研究表明:(1)农民收入增长受非农产业发展、农业产业发展、资金投入、基础设施、公共服务等5类因素所驱动,特定区域、特定时间范围内驱动因素会呈现出不同强度的组合关系,并表征为不同状态的农民收入增长动力结构,进而影响农民收入水平;(2)农民收入增长主导驱动因素的占比与农民收入水平之间存在显著的正相关性;(3)农民收入增长动力结构的稳定性与农民收入增长率之间存在显著的负相关性;(4)农民收入增长动力结构在一定区域内存在时空异质性。
The sustainable and stable growth of farmers'income is important to further consolidate the results of poverty alleviation areas and achieve rural revitalization in poverty alleviation areas.This paper constructs an analytical framework for farmers'income growth based on theoretical analysis,uses data from 80 counties in rocky desert poverty alleviation areas to measure farmers'income growth impetus and its combined relationship with the Weaver-Thomas model,and uses the grey correlation model to verify the correlation between the structure of farmers'income growth impetus and its stability with the level and growth rate of farmers'income,and then explore the spatiotemporal development characteristics of farmers'income growth impetus in the study area.The study shows that:1)The growth of farmers'income is driven by five types of factors,including the development of non-agricultural industries,the development of agricultural industries,capital investment,infrastructure,public services,and so on.2)There is a significant positive correlation between the share of the main drivers of farm income growth and the level of farm income.3)There is a significant negative correlation between the stability of the driving structure of farm income growth and the growth rate of farm income.4)There is spatiotemporal heterogeneity in the structure of farm income growth impulses within a given geographical area.
作者
周滔
黄冬月
ZHOU Tao;HUANG Dong-yue(School of Management Science and Real Estate,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400045,China)
出处
《人文地理》
北大核心
2024年第1期48-58,共11页
Human Geography
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(23AZD019)。
