摘要
在厘清城市高质量发展与城市土地利用效率耦合机理的基础上,基于2006—2020年黄河流域99个地级市的面板数据,综合运用耦合协调度模型、熵权法、超效率SBM模型、灰色预测模型GM等方法,并结合多项时空分析手段对黄河流域城市高质量发展与城市土地利用效率的耦合协调水平及时空演化规律进行深入分析。研究结果表明:黄河流域城市高质量发展水平与城市土地利用效率均呈平稳增长态势,两者耦合协调水平处于轻度失调阶段,总体呈现中游>下游>上游的分布格局,未来十年耦合协调度指数仍将保持高速增长,均衡发展态势显著,但区域间仍存在一定差距。对此,应着力从新发展理念的贯彻、土地利用管理方式的更新与相互机制入手,实现城市高质量发展与城市土地利用效率耦合协调,互促共荣。
On the basis of clarifying the coupling mechanism between urban high-quality development and urban land use efficiency,based on the panel data of 99 prefecture-level cities in the Yellow River Basin from 2006 to 2020,we comprehensively applied the coupling coordination level model,entropy weight method,super-efficiency SBM model,and grey prediction model GM(1,1),and combined with a number of spatio-temporal analytical tools to conduct an in-depth analysis on the coupling coordination level and spatial and temporal evolution law of urban high-quality development and urban land use efficiency in the Yellow River Basin.The coupling coordination level and spatio-temporal evolution law were analyzed in depth.The research results show that:the level of high-quality development of cities in the Yellow River Basin and the efficiency of urban land use have shown a steady growth trend,and the level of coupling and coordination between the two is in the stage of mild dysfunction,generally showing a distribution pattern of midstream>downstream>upstream,and the index of coupling and coordination degree in the next ten years will still maintain a high rate of growth,and the situation of balanced development is remarkable,but there is still a certain gap between the regions.In this regard,we should focus on the implementation of the new development concept,the renewal of land use management and mutual mechanisms to realize the coupling and coordination of urban high-quality development and urban land use efficiency,and to promote mutual co-prosperity.
作者
段琳琼
郝铭
赵修研
陈常优
Duan Linqiong;Hao Ming;Zhao Xiuyan;Chen Changyou
出处
《区域经济评论》
北大核心
2024年第2期119-129,共11页
Regional Economic Review
关键词
城市高质量发展
城市土地利用效率
耦合协调度
黄河流域
Urban High-Quality Development
Urban Land Use Efficiency
Coupling Coordination Degree
Yellow River Basin
