摘要
基于世界投入产出(WIOD)数据库与世界银行(WB)数据库,考虑人口老龄化背景下产业智能化如何影响益贫式增长。研究结果表明:人口老龄化对益贫式增长产生显著的抑制作用,而产业智能化对益贫式增长具有显著提升效应。在考虑不同估计方法和指标测算方法后,这一结论依然稳健。其次,异质性分析显示人口老龄化背景下产业智能化对于发达国家、后人口红利时期以及劳动密集型行业的益贫式增长的促进作用更为显著。最后,进一步分析发现老龄化背景下产业智能化主要通过岗位迭代效应与生产率效应机制影响益贫式增长,并通过GAM拟合图分析演变路径。研究结论对于人口老龄化背景下产业智能化转型升级以及促进益贫式增长、实现共同富裕具有重要启示。
In order to narrow the income gap and improve the distribution pattern,China adheres to the fundamental socialist principle of common prosperity,making economic development achievements more beneficial to low-income groups,and significantly improving the domestic income gap.However,due to the disorderly expansion of capital and other reasons in recent years,the Gini coefficient has rebounded,and the trend of income differentiation has not been fundamentally reversed.At the same time,as a new economic model driven by artificial intelligence,industrial intelligence has changed the distribution pattern of various production factors,and will trigger a profound transformation of the production division and income distribution pattern.In particular,the post creativity and production optimization effects in the middle and late stages of intelligent development can improve the relative income level of low-income groups to a certain extent,providing new ideas for alleviating income distribution conflicts in China.While focusing on rapid economic growth,poverty benefiting growth emphasizes more on whether low-and middle-income groups can benefit from growth,in line with China's development goal of narrowing the gap between rich and poor and achieving common prosperity.However,there is little research in the existing literature on the intertwined impact mechanisms of industrial intelligence and population aging on pro-poor growth.Based on the World Input Output(WIOD)database and the World Bank(WB)database,this article examines the impact mechanism of industrial intelligence on poverty benefiting development in the context of aging,providing empirical support for improving income inequality,narrowing the gap between rich and poor,and stabilizing economic growth.The research results show that population aging has a significant inhibitory effect on poverty beneficial growth,while industrial intelligence has a significant promotion effect on poverty beneficial growth.After considering different estimation methods and indicator
作者
韩亚峰
甄莹
张宁
HAN Ya-feng;ZHEN Ying;ZHANG Ning(College of International Business and Economics,Henan University of Economics and Law,Zhengzhou 450046,China)
出处
《科学学研究》
CSCD
北大核心
2024年第3期503-514,共12页
Studies in Science of Science
基金
国家社会科学基金一般项目(22BJL099,21BGJ049)
国家自然科学基金青年项目(42201185)。
关键词
产业智能化
人口老龄化
益贫式增长
技能劳动
industrial intelligence
ageing population
pro-poor growth
technical bility labor
