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黄河流域物流发展水平的时空演变及影响因素分析 被引量:1

An analysis of spatial-temporal evolution and impact factors of logistics development level in the Yellow River Basin
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摘要 为了全面提升物流发展水平,本文通过构建黄河流域物流发展水平评价指标体系,借助熵值法、核密度估计、探索性空间数据分析和地理探测器模型,对2011—2020年黄河流域物流发展水平的时空演变特征和影响因素进行探讨。结果表明:从物流发展水平来看,发展水平呈上升趋势,流域内部存在“上游低、中游居中、下游高”的显著性差异;从时序演变来看,物流发展由低水平向高水平迈进,省域间差异不断扩大;从空间演变来看,物流发展水平分布格局由北低南高转为西低东高,存在显著的空间正相关性,且高值集聚与低值集聚现象比较稳定;从影响因素来看,影响黄河流域物流发展水平的主要因素是经济实力、市场规模和对外开放,次要因素是基础设施、政府支持和产业结构优化。最后,从加强区域联动、发挥自身优势、社会协同发力方面提出了提升黄河流域物流发展水平的政策建议。 In order to comprehensively improve the level of logistics development,this paper constructs the evaluation index system of the logistics development level of the Yellow River Basin,and discusses the space-time evolution characteristics and influencing factors of the logistics development level of the Yellow River Basin from 2011 to 2020,with the help of entropy method,nuclear density estimation,exploratory spatial data analysis and geographic detector model.The results show that the level of logistics development is on the rise,and there are significant differences of“the upper reaches are low,the middle reaches are middle,and the lower reaches are high”.From the perspective of time sequence evolution,the logistics development has moved forward from a low level to a high level,and the differences among provinces have been expanding.From the perspective of spatial evolution,the distribution pattern of logistics development level has changed from being low in the north and high in the south to being low in the west and high in the east.There is a significant positive spatial correlation,and the phenomenon of high value agglomeration and low value agglomeration is relatively stable.For those main factors,the logistics development level of the Yellow River Basin are most influentially decided by the economic strength,market size and opening to the outside world,while the secondary factors are infrastructure,government support and industrial structure optimization.Finally,policy suggestions are put forward to improve the logistics development level of the Yellow River basin,such as strengthening regional linkage,giving full play to its own advantages and social synergy.
作者 曾旗 张俊杰 ZENG Qi;ZHANG Junjie(Research Center for Energy Economics,School of Business Administration,Henan Polytechnic University,Jiaozuo 454000,Henan,China)
出处 《河南理工大学学报(社会科学版)》 2024年第1期14-23,共10页 Journal of Henan Polytechnic University:Social Sciences
基金 河南省高等教育教学改革与实践项目(2021SJGLX097Y) 河南省高校人文社会科学项目(2021-ZZJH-131) 河南省社会科学规划决策咨询项目(2022JC43)。
关键词 黄河流域 物流发展 时空演变 .地理探测器 Yellow River Basin logistics development spatial-temporal evolution geodetector
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