双重异质性视角下城市群经济韧性的演化特征及其影响机制研究——以长三角为例

Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Mechanism of Economic Resilience of Urban Agglomeration from the Perspective of Double Heterogeneity——Taking Yangtze River Delta as An Example

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摘要基于双重异质性视角,分析2007—2020年长三角41个城市经济韧性的演化特征及其影响机制。研究表明:长三角城市群不同阶段的经济韧性空间差异显著,且冷热点聚集区域出现了组团式动态转换;面对外来冲击时,固定投资、产业多样化、国企对经济韧性解释力较强,而出口贸易解释力波动较大;在结构调整期时,固定投资对经济韧性支撑作用减弱,三产占比、财政支撑、技术创新及人力资本水平的提高加速了产业结构升级,提高中长期经济韧性;政府通过塑造产业结构及改善技术等要素错配程度影响经济韧性。 From the perspective of double heterogeneity,this paper analyzes the evolution characteristics and influencing mechanisms of economic resilience of 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta from 2007 to 2020.The results indicate that the economic resilience of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration at different stages presented spatial differences,and the cluster of hot and cold spots had a dynamic transformation.When faced with external shocks,fixed investment,industrial diversification and the proportion of state-owned enterprises can give a much more convincing explanation,while the export trade has a large fluctuation.During the period of structural adjustment,the supporting role of fixed investment for economic resilience was reduced,however,the improvement of the proportion of three industries,financial support,technological innovation and human capital level accelerated the upgrading of industrial structure,thus improving economic resilience of the region in the medium and long run.Government management affects regional economic resilience through shaping industrial structure and improving the mismatch degree of technology and other factors.

作者刘程军张君婷陈展驰舒季君 LIU Chengjun;ZHANG Junting;CHEN Zhanchi;SHU Jijun(School of Economics,Zhejiang University of Technology,Hangzhou 310023,China;Zhijiang College,Zhejiang University of Technology,Shaoxing 312030,China)

机构地区浙江工业大学经济学院浙江工业大学之江学院

出处《科技与经济》 2024年第1期91-95,共5页 Science & Technology and Economy

基金浙江省高校重大人文社会科学攻关计划项目——“数字经济背景下创新要素适配的机制与效应研究”(项目编号:2021QN052,项目负责人:刘程军)成果之一教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目——“共同富裕目标下平台经济促进要素跨区域适配的实现机制、组织模式及政策设计研究”(项目编号:22YJC790073,项目负责人:刘程军)成果之一国家社会科学基金项目——“乡村振兴战略背景下我国城乡融合发展的模式与推进机制研究”(项目编号:19BGL175,项目负责人:舒季君)成果之一浙江省哲学社会科学规划项目——“数字经济场景下产业链重构机理与数智强韧‘链长制’适配模式研究”(项目编号:22NDJC056YB,项目负责人:唐根年)成果之一浙江省新苗人才项目——“数智强省与共同富裕双重驱动下数据利用绩效的演化格局、形成机理及溢出效应研究——以浙江为例”(项目编号:2022R403B067,项目负责人:张君婷)成果之一。

关键词长三角城市群区域经济韧性双重异质性影响机制 Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration regional economic resilience double heterogeneity influencing mechanism

分类号 F12 [经济管理—世界经济]