摘要
休闲农业是一项旅游性较强的新兴产业,深入探索休闲农业与旅游业的耦合协调关系是促进两者可持续发展的重要基础。基于此,本研究以河北省为例,构建休闲农业与旅游业评价指标体系,采用熵权法确定指标权重,利用线性加权法测算两系统的综合发展指数,最后利用耦合协调度模型测算2013—2022年河北省休闲农业与旅游业的耦合协调度。实证结果表明:河北省休闲农业与旅游业综合发展指数变动趋势大体保持一致,整体呈现先升后降的趋势,呈现倒“V”型态势,2013—2019年指数上升,2019年后受疫情影响逐渐下降;两系统耦合度较低,目前处于拮抗阶段,耦合协调度发展经历了中度失调、轻度失调、濒临失调、勉强协调、初级协调、勉强协调、濒临失调7个阶段,后期疫情对于两系统的发展影响较大;在划分类型上,以休闲农业主导性为主,两大系统相互支撑、相互促进作用显著。基于此,促进河北省休闲农业与旅游业耦合协调关系进一步健康发展,应建立耦合协调发展管理机制、加强政府扶持及完善基础设施等。
Leisure agriculture is an emerging industry with strong tourism.Exploring the coupling and coordination relationship between leisure agriculture and tourism is an important basis to promote their sustainable development.Based on this,this paper took Hebei province as an example to construct an evaluation index system of leisure agriculture and tourism,entropy weight method was used to determine the index weight,linear weighting method was used to measure the comprehensive development index of the two systems,and finally the coupled coordination degree model was used to estimate the coupled coordination degree of leisure agriculture and tourism in Hebei province from 2013 to 2022.The empirical results showed that the change trend of comprehensive development index of leisure agriculture and tourism in Hebei province is generally consistent,showing a trend of first rising and then falling,with an inverted V-shaped form;the index increased from 2013 to 2019,and gradually decreased after 2019 due to the impact of the epidemic;the coupling degree of the two systems is low and currently in the antagonistic stage,the development of the coupling coordination degree has gone through seven stages:moderate dissonance,mild dissonance,near dissonance,reluctant coordination,primary coordination,reluctant coordination,on the verge of dissonance.The later epidemic has a great impact on the development of the two systems.In terms of classification,leisure agriculture dominates,and the two systems support and promote each other significantly.Based on this,in order to promote the further healthy development of the coupling coordination relationship between leisure agriculture and tourism in Hebei province,we should establish the coupling coordination development management mechanism,strengthen the government support and improve the infrastructure.
作者
刘倩
苏妍
张润清
Liu Qian;Su Yan;Zhang Runqing(College of Economics and Management,Hebei Agricultural University,Baoding 071000,Hebei)
出处
《农业展望》
2024年第1期101-109,共9页
Agricultural Outlook
基金
河北省现代农业产业技术体系食用菌产业创新团队产业经济岗项目(HBCT2023090301)
河北农业大学引进人才科研项目“河北省县域休闲农业发展潜力评价及其空间分异特征研究”(YJ2021010)。
关键词
休闲农业
旅游业
综合发展指数
熵权法
耦合协调度
leisure agriculture
tourism
comprehensive development index
entropy weight method
coupling coordination degree
