摘要
新冠疫情作为一次突发性公共卫生危机,由于其传染性极强和早期的高重症率,对我国民众的生命安全造成了威胁。为阻断其传播,多地实施了限制人员流动等措施,对就业尤其是农民工就业产生了较大影响。本文基于2018年与2020年中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)两期平衡面板数据,结合疫情爆发前后的时间差异与疫情严重程度的省份差异,探讨新冠疫情对农民工就业地点变化的影响。结果表明,新冠肺炎疫情的爆发显著改变了农民工的就业地点,疫情严重程度的增长提高了农民工返回乡镇地区就业的概率,在控制了潜在的内生性后,结论依然成立。异质性检验显示,该效应对于健康状况较差、收入水平与受教育程度较低,工作类型为私营企业、个体工商户或外商企业且有子女的女性农民工的影响更明显。
As a sudden public health crisis,the new COVID-19 pandemic has threatened the lives of Chinese people due to its strong contagiousness and high early severe disease rate.In order to block its spread,measures such as restricting the movement of people have been implemented in many places.It has a great impact on employment,especially the employment of migrant workers.Based on the two-phase balanced panel data of the China Family Panel Survey(CFPS)in 2018 and 2020,this paper explores the impact of the pandemic on the employment location of migrant workers by combining the time differences before and after the outbreak and the provincial differences in the severity of the pandemic.The results show that the outbreak of the pandemic has significantly changed the employment location of migrant workers,and the increase in the severity of the pandemic has increased the probability of migrant workers returning to rural areas for employment.After controlling for potential endogeneity,the conclusion still holds.The heterogeneity test shows that this effect is more obvious for female migrant workers with poorer health status,lower income level and education level,working in private enterprises,individual industrial and commercial households or foreign-invested enterprises and having children.
作者
翟文昊
晋娴
马铃
ZHAI Wenhao;JIN Xian;MA Ling
出处
《农业技术经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2024年第2期36-55,共20页
Journal of Agrotechnical Economics
