摘要
上海合作组织成员国处于古代“丝绸之路”的必经之地,同时也处于新丝绸之路经济带的重要地段.以2005-2020年上合组织成员国对中国的贸易额为基础,从政府治理、经济潜力和贸易便利化三个维度建立偏最小二乘法结构方程模型,进行贸易机制分析.实证结果表明,上海合作组织成员国的政府治理水平对经济潜力和贸易便利化具有显著正向影响,进而间接影响对华贸易额.空间距离和文化距离具有负向调节作用.根据研究结论提出相关政策建议,以期加强成员国之间的对外经贸往来,促进区域经贸合作.
Shanghai Cooperation Organization(SCO)member states are located in preeminent locations along the Silk Road Economic Belt.Based on trade volume between SCO member states with China from 2005 to 2020,this paper proposes a partial least squares structural equation model(PLS-SEM)established from the three dimensions of governance,economic potential and trade facilitation to analyze the trade mechanism.The empirical results indicates that the level of government governance of SCO member states has a significant positive impact on the economic potential and trade facilitation,and this will indirectly affect the volume of trade with China.The spatial distance and cultural distance have negative moderating effects.Based on the research conclusions,this paper proposes to strengthen relevant policy in order to promote the economic and trade relations among member states with China.
作者
艾山江·阿不都拉
Ayshanjiang·Abdullah(School of Economics and Management,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China)
出处
《数学的实践与认识》
2023年第12期42-49,共8页
Mathematics in Practice and Theory
关键词
上海合作组织
结构方程模型
偏最小二乘法
对华贸易额
shanghai cooperation organization
structural equation model
partial least square
trade volume with China
