摘要
对2005—2020年黄山市旅游发展潜力、旅游生态效率以及二者的耦合协调度进行测度与评价,并采用Tobit模型分析其耦合协调度的影响因素。研究表明:黄山市旅游发展潜力总体呈现小幅度波动上升趋势,均值和年均增长率分别为0.547和9.5%;旅游生态效率总体呈现“M”型发展态势,围绕均值0.557上下浮动。二者的耦合协调发展水平总体呈现波动性上升特征,具体分为发展不平衡阶段、低水平协调发展阶段和共生发展波动阶段。经济发展水平、旅游产业结构和环境承载容量对旅游发展潜力和旅游生态效率耦合协调度的影响呈正相关,而旅游接待设施对其影响则呈负相关。
This paper measures and evaluates the tourism development potential,tourism ecological efficiency and their coupling coordination degree of Huangshan City from 2005 to 2020,and uses Tobit model to analyze the influencing factors of their coupling coordination.The research shows that the overall tourism development potential of Huangshan City generally presents a small fluctuation upward trend,with the average and annual average growth rate of 0.547 and 9.5%respectively.The overall development trend of tourism ecological efficiency presents an“M”shape,fluctuating around the average value of 0.557.The coupled and coordinated development level of the two shows a fluctuating upward trend,which can be divided into stages of unbalanced development,low-level coordinated development and symbiotic development.The level of economic development,tourism industrial structure and environmental carrying capacity on the coupling coordination of tourism development potential and tourism ecological efficiency is positively correlated,while the impact of tourism reception facilities is negatively correlated.
作者
陆菊
吴春柳
魏鑫
Lu Ju;Wu Chunliu;Wei Xin(School of International Tourism,Anhui International Studies University,Hefei 230000,China;Huangshan Tunxi District Cultural Tourism and Sports Bureau,Huangshan 245000,China)
出处
《黄山学院学报》
2023年第6期24-31,共8页
Journal of Huangshan University
基金
安徽省高等学校人文社会科学重点研究项目(2022AH052805)
安徽外国语学院校级重点科研项目(Awky2022013)。
关键词
黄山市
旅游发展潜力
旅游生态效率
耦合协调度
TOBIT模型
Huangshan city
tourism development potential
tourism ecological efficiency
coupling co scheduling
Tobit model
