摘要
以云南省16个地州市为例,借助熵权-TOPSIS、耦合协调度及地理探测器模型,测度“五化”和城市韧性发展水平,探究“五化”协调发展对城市韧性的影响及其响应.结果表明:(1)“五化”发展水平呈现出上升的趋势,但整体发展水平不高,区域空间分布呈现出高水平中心集聚,低水平外围分布的局面;“五化”协调水平指数呈现持续增加趋势,其耦合协调类型增加,失调衰退类型减少.(2)城市韧性发展水平同样表现为不断上升的态势,但发展水平相对较低,高值区集中于滇中城市群,低值区分布在省边缘地区.(3)“五化”协调对城市韧性发展水平的单因子探测平均值由强到弱为信息化>城镇化>工业化>农业现代化>绿色化,“五化”耦合协调对城市韧性的影响力为0.860;城市韧性对“五化”协调发展的响应力大小为社会韧性>经济韧性>生态韧性>工程韧性;两系统的交互因子探测类型均为双因子增强型和非线性增强型.
Taking 16 prefectural and municipal cities in Yunnan as an example,we measure the development level of the′Five Modernizations′and urban resilience with the help of entropy weight-TOPSIS,coupled coordination degree and geodetector model,and explore the impact of the coordinated development of the′Five Modernizations′on urban resilience and its response.(1)The development level of the′Five Modernizations′shows an upward trend,but the overall development level is not high,and the regional spatial distribution shows a high level of centralized agglomeration and a low level of peripheral distribution;the index of the coordination level of the′Five Modernizations′shows a trend of continuous increase in its coupling.Coordination type increases,and the type of dysfunctional decline decreases.(2)The development level of urban resilience also shows a rising trend,but the development level is relatively low,with the high value area concentrated in the city cluster in central Yunnan and the low value area distributed in the fringe areas.(3)The average values of single-factor detection of′Five Modernizations′coordination on the development level of urban resilience are informatization>urbanization>industrialization>agricultural modernization>greening,and the influence of the coupled coordination of′Five Modernizations′on the urban resilience is 0.860;The responsiveness of urban resilience to the coordinated development of′Five Modernizations′is social resilience>economic resilience>ecological resilience>engineering resilience;the types of interaction factor detection of the two systems are two-factor enhancement and nonlinear enhancement.
作者
李安林
牛乐德
LI Anlin;NIU Lede(Faculty of Geography,Yunnan Normal University,Kunming 65000,China)
出处
《云南师范大学学报（自然科学版）》
2024年第1期65-74,共10页
Journal of Yunnan Normal University:Natural Sciences Edition
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(42261037)
云南省基础研究计划资助项目(202201AT070024)。
关键词
“五化”协调
城市韧性
双向效应
云南省
′Five Modernizations′coordination
Urban resilience
Bidirectional effect
Yunnan Province
