摘要
本文利用2000—2013年中国海关数据库和中国工业企业数据库,研究外部需求冲击对中国企业出口市场多元化的影响。研究结果表明:外部需求冲击显著抑制了企业出口市场多元化;外部需求冲击促使企业更多地选择出口目的地进入固定成本较低的市场,从而抑制了企业出口市场多元化;外部需求冲击对不同要素密集型企业出口市场多元化的影响呈现出动态演进的特征,从2000—2006年期间对劳动密集型企业出口市场多元化的显著抑制作用转向了2007—2013年期间对资本密集型企业出口市场多元化的显著抑制作用;外部需求冲击显著抑制了出口规模较大企业的出口市场多元化,对出口规模较小企业的影响作用不显著。本文研究对于如何积极应对外部需求冲击以促进中国企业出口市场多元化的发展具有一定的政策启示作用。
This paper examines the influence of external demand shocks on the export market diversification of Chinese firms.Utilizing panel data from the China Customs Database and the Chinese Industrial Enterprise Database from 2000 to 2013,we elucidate the effects.The results reveal that external demand shocks play a significant role in constraining firms'export market diversification.Notably,external demand shocks prompt Chinese firms to choose export markets characterized by lower fixed costs for entering the destinations,thus significantly inhibiting their export market diversification.Moreover,this study observes a dynamic evolution in the impact of external demand shocks on the export market diversification of firms with different factor intensities.This impact transforms from significantly restraining the diversification of labor-intensive firms from 2000 to 2006,to significantly constraining the diversification of capital-intensive firms from 2007 to 2013.The external demand shocks significantly hinder the export market diversification of firms with a large export scale,while have no significant effect on firms with a smaller export scale.This paper has certain policy implications,particularly concerning the enhancement of Chinese firms'export market diversification through active responses to external demand shocks.
作者
张明志
何鸿亮
ZHANG Mingzhi;HE Hongliang
出处
《国际贸易问题》
北大核心
2023年第8期1-19,共19页
Journal of International Trade
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“外部冲击与中国对外贸易多元化研究:全球价值链视角”(21YJA790079)
国家自然科学基金面上项目“贸易冲击与中国区域劳动力就业:机理研究、实证检验与量化评估”(72173110)。
关键词
外部需求冲击
出口市场多元化
出口目的地进入固定成本
External Demand Shocks
Export Market Diversification
Fixed Costs of Export Destination Entry
