摘要
伴随着中国在碳减排领域承担着越来越重要的国际责任,基于碳排放及经济发展综合评估分省域碳排放分解及脱钩状态对于中国碳排放研究至关重要。综合投入产出分析,将Tapio脱钩模型与Kaya恒等式和LMDI分解法相结合,对中国2007—2017年各省份生产和消费双重视角下碳排放的分解效应及其与经济增长的脱钩关系开展研究,探讨不同省份之间的碳排放特征及演变趋势,结果显示:除2012—2015年碳排放量保持平稳,中国在2007—2017年碳排放量呈现增长趋势;中国碳排放量与经济增长总体呈现弱脱钩状态;黄河中下游地区碳排放增长量相对较高,产业结构较为落后;技术进步效应与产业结构效应对碳排放量起到抑制作用,而经济产出效应与人口规模效应起到促进作用。
Along with China’s increasingly important responsibility in the field of carbon emission reduction,a comprehensive assessment of the decomposition and decoupling statuses of carbon emissions by province through integrating carbon emissions and economic development is crucial to the study of China’s carbon emissions.Using input-output analysis and combining the Tapio decoupling model with the Kaya identity and the LMDI decomposition method,we analyze the decomposition effect of carbon emissions and its decoupling relationship with economic growth under the dual perspectives of production and consumption in China’s provinces during the period of 2007—2017,and explore the characteristics of carbon emissions and the evolution trend among different provinces,which show that:except for the 2012—2015 period when carbon emissions remained stable,China’s carbon emissions showed an increasing trend during the 2007—2017 period.China’s carbon emissions are weakly decoupled from economic growth in general.The growth of carbon emissions in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River is relatively high,mainly due to the backward industrial structures.The effects of technolgical upgrade and industrial structure inhibit carbon emission,while the effects of economic output and population size promote carbon emission.
作者
韩梦瑶
张泽
廖茂林
Han Mengyao;Zhang Ze;Liao Maolin
出处
《区域经济评论》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第5期120-130,共11页
Regional Economic Review
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“‘双碳’目标对中国跨境贸易网络的重塑及转型风险防范研究”(22CJY020)
国家重点研发计划项目“中国实现2030年碳排放峰值目标的优化路径研究”(2016YFA0602800)。
关键词
LMDI
碳排放
脱钩
弹性投入产出
LMDI
Carbon Intensity
Decoupling Elasticity
Input-Output Analysis
