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旅游气候舒适度的模型改进及时空演化 被引量:1

Model Modification and Spatiotemporal Evolution of the Comfortability Degree of Tourism Climate
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摘要 旅游气候舒适度是影响旅游者旅游决策和旅游体验的重要因子,也是影响旅游流时空变化的重要因素。目前国内对旅游气候舒适度的研究多集中在局部区域且各评价指标具有较强的局限性,缺乏对大尺度空间范围内旅游气候舒适度评价的研究。文章基于气象站点数据,并结合中国内地的实际情况,通过改进国际上典型的旅游气候舒适度评价模型,对中国内地1961—2020年旅游气候舒适度的多时间尺度变化及空间格局演变进行探讨。结果表明,改进后的旅游气候舒适度模型能够较好地反映中国内地的实际情况。时间上,中国内地旅游气候舒适度在近60年中表现出非线性和多时间尺度周期性变化的特征;空间上,中国东南沿海地区的旅游气候舒适天数呈减少趋势,其他大部分地区则呈增加趋势。该结论为我国未来旅游气候的相关研究提供了理论支持和现实指导。 The comfortability degree of tourism climate is an important factor that affects tourists'decision-making and experience,as well as an important factor that affects the spatiotemporal changes of tourist flow.At present,domestic research on tourism climate comfortability degree is mostly concentrated in local areas and each of evaluation models has strong limitations,and there is a lack of evaluation of tourism climate comfortability in large-scale space.Therefore,based on the meteorological station data and the actual situation in China's Mainland,this paper explored the multi-time-scale changes and spatial pattern evolution of tourism climate comfortable degree in China's Mainland from 1961 to 2020 by modifying the typical international tourism climate comfort model.The results show that the modified tourism climate comfort model can better reflect the actual situation in China's Mainland.In time,the tourism climate comfortability degree in China's Mainland has exhibited non-linear and multi-time-scale cyclical changes in the past 60 years.In space,the tourism climate comfortable days in the southeast coastal areas of China have shown a decreasing trend,while most other regions have shown an increasing trend.These results provide theoretical support and practical guidance for future tourism climate research in China.
作者 朱妮娜 曾刚 史正燕 宋艳姣 陈鹏鑫 ZHU Nina;ZENG Gang;SHI Zhengyan;SONG Yanjiao;Chen Pengxin(College of Event and Communication,Shanghai University of International Business and Economics,Shanghai 201613,China;The Center for Modern Chinese City Studies,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200333,China;The Institute of Urban Development,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200333,China;School of Geographic Sciences,East China Normal University,Shanghai 201100,China;School of Urban and Regional Sciences,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200333,China)
出处 《旅游科学》 CSSCI 北大核心 2023年第4期144-160,共17页 Tourism Science
基金 上海市哲学社会科学规划青年课题项目“长三角地区碳排放影响因素及达峰模拟研究”(2022ECK005)。
关键词 旅游气候舒适度 中国内地 气候变化 多时间尺度变化 非线性变化 tourism climate comfortable degree China's Mainland climate change multi-time-scale changes non-linear changes
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