摘要
基于我国2060年达到碳中和、实现零碳能源架构的需求,针对我国未来能源系统及能源转型现实路径展开研究。结合能源技术发展的趋势和我国目前以化石能源为主的能源体系的实际情况,分析我国实现能源转型的硬约束。通过对比研究碳中和能源解决方案不同技术选择的可行性、主要挑战及全球能源技术发展趋势,推演出在保证国家能源安全的前提下,我国2060年实现碳中和能源架构与零碳能源转型的现实路径。最后,提出未来构建以可再生能源为主体的新型能源系统亟需开展的关键技术及应采取的政策措施建议。
Based on the demand of China to achieve carbon neutrality and zero carbon energy architecture by 2060,this paper studied the future energy system and the realistic path of energy transformation in China.Combined with the trend of energy technology development and the actual situation of China’s current energy system dominated by fossil energy,the hard constraints of China’s energy transformation were analyzed.By comparing and studying the feasibility,the main challenges of different technology options for carbon neutrality energy solutions,and the global energy development trend,this paper deduced the realistic path of realizing carbon neutrality energy architecture and zero carbon energy transformation in 2060 under the premise of ensuring national energy security.Finally,the key technologies and the policy measures were put forward,which should be promoted to build a novel energy system with renewable energy as the main body for the future.
作者
许洪华
邵桂萍
鄂春良
郭金东
XU Honghua;SHAO Guiping;E Chunliang;GUO Jindong(Institute of Electrical Engineering,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Haidian District,Beijing 100190,China;China Renewable Energy System Association,China Renewable Energy Society,Haidian District,Beijing 100190,China)
出处
《发电技术》
CSCD
2023年第4期484-491,共8页
Power Generation Technology
基金
中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(XDA29010500)。
关键词
碳中和
可再生能源
零碳能源
能源转型
新型能源系统
carbon neutrality
renewable energy
zero carbon energy
energy transformation
novel energy system
