摘要
新发展阶段探索兼顾碳达峰碳中和目标与共同富裕的政策工具具有重大意义。基于2013—2019年2195个区县的2492个中国核证自愿减排(CCER)项目数据,识别CCER项目与农村居民人均可支配收入之间的因果关系及其作用机制,研究发现:(1)CCER项目可显著提高项目地农村居民收入且增收效应可观;(2)CCER项目通过增加项目地非农就业这一机制促进农民增收;(3)增收效应在不同地区均存在,且非农就业人口占比较低地区的增收效应显著大于占比较高地区。该结论为重启CCER项目审批、提高CCER项目在全国碳交易市场份额提供了科学依据,同时也为推进碳达峰碳中和目标与共同富裕的协同实现提供了经验证据。
In the new development stage,it is of significance to explore policy tools that facilitate the simultaneous realization of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals and common prosperity.Based on the data of 2,492 Chinese certified emission reduction(CCER)projects in 2,195 districts and counties in China from 2013 through 2019,this paper investigates the impact of CCER projects on the per capita disposable income of rural residents and the underlying mechanism by establishing a fixed effect panel model.The research results are verified by a suite of model settings,robustness tests and mechanism analyses.Compared with existing studies,the marginal contributions of this paper are threefold.First,we aim at validating the policy synergies between carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals and common prosperity by exploring the relationship between CCER projects and farmers’income.Second,we compile and analyze the data for the number of projects and installed capacity of 2,492 CCERs and the 6-year per capita disposable income of rural residents in 2,195 districts and counties throughout China.Third,to make the research results scientifically robust,a two-way fixed effects panel model is developed in combination with instrumental variables test,mechanism analysis and heterogeneity analysis.For example,to address the endogeneity issue,this paper selects annual average wind speed and sunshine hours for instrumental variables testing and further eliminates the effect of pro-poor policies through heterogeneity testing.The results showed that:(1)the CCER projects have significantly improved the income of rural resident;(2)the increase in local non-agricultural employment constitutes the core of the mechanism;(3)the impact of the CCER projects on rural residents’income vary across the regions,and faster increase in rural income is observed in areas with a relatively low non-agricultural employment rate.These findings can not only provide a scientific basis for timely resuming the approval of CCER projects and increasing
作者
方恺
毛梦圆
刘潇
李实
陈帅
刘培林
Fang Kai;Mao Mengyuan;Liu Xiao;Li Shi;Chen Shuai;Liu Peilin(School of Public Affairs,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058,China;Research Center for Regional Coordinated Development,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058,China;Zhejiang Ecological Civilization Academy,Huzhou 313300,China;Innovation Center of Yangtze River Delta,Zhejiang University,Jiaxing 314100,China;Bureau of Education,Xiaoshan District,Hangzhou City,Hangzhou 311201,China)
出处
《浙江大学学报（人文社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第2期101-115,共15页
Journal of Zhejiang University:Humanities and Social Sciences
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目(22&ZD108,22ZDA029)
国家自然科学基金项目(72074193,42341205,72273131)
浙江省重点研发计划项目(2022C03154,2022C03030)
浙江省杰出青年科学基金项目(LR22G030003)
浙江大学高层次人才科研启动资金(2021QDJF01)
浙江大学生态文明计划专项。
关键词
碳达峰碳中和
共同富裕
中国核证自愿减排
农民收入
增收效应
carbon peaking and carbon neutrality
common prosperity
Chinese certified emissions reduction(CCER)
rural residents’income
income-increasing effect
