期刊文献+

国际耦合模式比较计划及其模拟能力研究进展 被引量:1

Coupled Model Intercomparison Project and its research progress in simulation performance
原文传递
导出
摘要 国际耦合模式比较计划(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project,CMIP)自20世纪90年代中期创建以来迅速发展,为全球气候变化的模拟和未来预估提供了不可替代的数据支持。论文系统回顾了CMIP1到CMIP6的发展历程,包含理论框架、未来情景构建、国际参与情况等方面。在此基础上,论文全面总结了CMIP模式对全球及中国区域气温、降水及其他变量的模拟能力,并重点比较了CMIP3、CMIP5和CMIP6模式的历史试验模拟结果。随CMIP的不断发展,模式在物理参数化方案、空间分辨率等方面有了一定的提高,其模拟能力也随之不断改善。但模式对区域尺度气候特征的模拟能力仍然有限,尤其是对于中小尺度降水变化特征的模拟,并且不同模式的模拟能力存在很大差异。最后,论文针对以上问题展望了CMIP模式的可能发展方向。 The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP)has developed rapidly from establishing in the mid-1990s,which provides irreplaceable data support for global climate change simulation and future climate change projection.This paper reviewed systematically the development process from CMIP1 to CMIP6,including theoretical framework,future scenario construction,international participation,etc.On this basis,the paper comprehensively summarized the performance of CMIP models in simulating global and China's temperature,precipitation,and other variables.Furthermore,the simulation results of historical experiment in CMIP3,CMIP5 and CMIP6 was emphatically compared.With the development of CMIP,the simulation performance of global climate models has also been improved due to the improvements of physical parameterization scheme and spatial resolution.However,the performances of CMIP models in simulating climate characteristics at regional scale are still limited,especially for the simulations of precipitation change in small-middle scale,and the simulation performances of different models varies greatly.Finally,the paper looks forward to the possible development directions of CMIP models according to the above problems.
作者 范雪薇 缪驰远 苟娇娇 吴怡 张棋 FAN Xuewei;MIAO Chiyuan;GOU Jiaojiao;WU Yi;ZHANG Qi(State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology,Faculty of Geographical Science,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China;Research and Development Center forWatershed Environmental Eco-Engineering,Beijing Normal University(Zhuhai),Zhuhai 519087,Guangdong,China)
出处 《地理科学进展》 CSCD 北大核心 2023年第6期1204-1215,共12页 Progress in Geography
基金 国家自然科学基金项目(42041006) 地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室自主课题(2022-ZD-03)。
关键词 全球气候模式 国际耦合模式比较计划 发展历程 模拟能力 global climate models CMIP development process simulation performance
  • 相关文献

参考文献32

二级参考文献295

共引文献644

同被引文献6

引证文献1

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部