摘要
[目的]探索建设更加强健、有效的自然灾害刚弹韧性社会途径,为南方红壤区防范化解重大自然灾害风险提供科学参考。[方法]以南方红壤区典型受灾区福建省长汀县为例,从刚性抵御、弹性管控、韧性恢复3个维度构建了指标体系,利用熵权TOPSIS模型和耦合协调度模型定量评价了2006—2019年长汀县的自然灾害刚弹韧性社会综合水平及一级指标间的耦合协调性,并进行障碍度因子分析。[结果]①长汀县的自然灾害刚弹韧性社会水平经历了由缓慢下降到显著增长的演化过程,在2006—2019年增长了0.4616,总体呈现显著增长趋势。②长汀县自然灾害刚弹韧性社会的刚性抵御水平、弹性管控水平和韧性恢复水平总体呈现显著增长趋势,仅韧性恢复指数在2006—2010年呈明显下降趋势,由0.4020下降至0.2809。③在各项评价指标中,灾害监测能力、治安管理水平、第三产业比重、碳储存能力的下降以及水源涵养功能的减退是限制长汀县自然灾害刚弹韧性社会发展的关键因素。[结论]从刚性抵御、弹性管控、韧性恢复3个维度对南方红壤区进行评估能较为有效、准确地反映该地区的自然灾害刚弹韧性社会综合水平。同时,应补齐发展短板,避免自然灾害刚性韧性社会出现衰退。
[Objective]The method for building a society having robust and effective responses to natural disasters was determined in order to provide a scientific reference for preventing and reducing risks from major natural disasters in the red soil area of South China.[Methods]Changting County,Fujian Province was used as a typical disaster area in the red soil area of South China.An index system was constructed from three dimensions that included rigid resistance,elastic control,and resilient recovery.The entropy weight TOPSIS model and the coupling coordination model were used to quantitatively evaluate the comprehensive level and the coupling and coordination between the first level of rigid-elastic-resilient society responses to natural disasters in Changting County from 2006 to 2019.An obstacle factor analysis was conducted.[Results]①The level of rigid-elastic-resilient society responses to natural disasters in Changting County evolved from a slow decline to a significant increase,with an increase of 0.4616 from 2006 to 2019,showing a significant growth trend overall.②The rigid resistance level,elastic control level,and resilience recovery level of the rigid-elastic-resilient society responses to natural disasters in Changting County generally showed a significant growth trend.Only the resilience recovery index significantly decreased from 0.4020 to 0.2809 from 2006 to 2010.③Among various evaluation indicators,the decline of disaster monitoring capability,public security management level,proportion of tertiary industry,carbon storage capability,and water conservation function were the key factors restricting the development of the rigid-elastic-resilience society responses to natural disasters in Changting County.[Conclusion]The red soil area of South China was evaluated from three dimensions including rigid resistance,elastic control,and resilient recovery.These three dimensions effectively and accurately reflected the comprehensive level of rigid,elastic,and resilient society responses to natural disasters in
作者
胡康
岳辉
梁裕宁
吴丽君
朱萱
钟子豪
丁国昌
Hu Kang;Yue Hui;Liang Yuning;Wu Lijun;Zhu Xuan;Zhong Zihao;Ding Guochang(College of Landscape Architecture,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Ecological Landscape Grass Engineering Technology Research Center of National Forestry and Grassland Administration,Fuzhou,Fujian 350002,China;Changting County Water and Soil Conservation Bureau,Changting,Fujian 366399,China)
出处
《水土保持通报》
CSCD
北大核心
2023年第1期272-280,共9页
Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation
基金
福建省水利厅项目“乡村水环境与生态景观规划设计模式及评价指标研究”(KLh20015A)。
关键词
刚性抵御
弹性管控
韧性恢复
自然灾害刚弹韧性社会
福建省长汀县
rigid resistance
elastic control
resilient recovery
rigid-elastic-resilient society responses to natural disasters
Changting County Fujian Province
