摘要
俄乌冲突进一步凸显网络既是手段也是被保护对象的特殊属性,这决定了网络威慑与传统威慑的巨大差异。传统威慑是强者游戏,因此追逐实力基础上的优势地位成为大多数国家推行威慑战略的先决条件。由于网络空间的“玻璃房”特征,基于互毁关系的网络威慑不会使一国更安全,只会使各国更脆弱。基于质押关系的网络威慑将是更加稳定可持续的发展方向。该威慑模式源自中国古代“纳质为押”制度,并已在第二次世界大战后的国际均势体系中得到多次实践。
The Russia-Ukraine Conflict further highlights the reality of"cyber"as both a means and a protected object,which determines the huge difference between cyber deterrence and traditional deterrence.The Traditional deterrence theory lists strength as the first element,which implies that deterrence is a game among powerful countries.However,due to the"glass room"characteristics of cyberspace,cyber deterrence based on mutually assured destruction does not make one country more secure,it only makes countries more vulnerable.Cyber deterrence based on pledge relationships will be a more stable and sustainable direction.The deterrence model originated from the pledge system in ancient China and was put into practice in the international balance system after World War Ⅱ.
作者
赵子鹏
张光迎
ZHAO Zipeng;ZHANG Guangying(National Defence University of PLA,Beijing 100091,China)
出处
《信息安全与通信保密》
2022年第11期45-51,共7页
Information Security and Communications Privacy
关键词
大国竞争
网络威慑
相互确保摧毁
纳质为押
great power competition
cyber deterrence
mutually assured destruction
pledge relationship between countries
