摘要
本文利用2005—2020年山东省出口和经济发展数据,通过出口扩展型生产函数模型对出口贸易在经济增长中的作用进行实证分析,结果表明:山东省出口贸易推动经济发展,但其正向作用并不显著,定量定性分析与实证分析结论一致;从出口贸易方式来看,2007年开始经过加工贸易梯度转移调整期后,2014—2020年山东省一般贸易出口增长对经济增长的贡献作用较大;从经济增长的角度来看,企业除了国内市场外,发展出口贸易也是正确的,在贸易方式的选择上应优先发展一般贸易出口。
In this paper,with the export and economic development data of Shandong Province from 2005 to 2020,the empirical analysis of the role of export trade in economic growth through the model of export expansion-based pro-duction function shows that export trade in Shandong Province drives economic development,but its positive effect is not significant.The quantitative and qualitative analysis is consistent with the fi ndings of the empirical analysis.From the perspective of export trade modes,after the adjustment period of processing trade gradient transfer in 2007,the contribu-tion of general trade export growth to economic growth in Shandong Province from 2014 to 2020 is greater.From the per-spective of economic growth,it is also feasible for enterprises to develop export trade in addition to the domestic markets,and priority should be given to the development of general trade exports in terms of the choice of trade modes.
作者
张磊
ZHANG Lei(Shandong Langhui Petrochemicals Co.,Ltd.Zibo,Shandong 255400)
出处
《中国商论》
2023年第6期21-24,共4页
China Journal of Commerce
关键词
出口贸易
经济增长
贸易方式
一般贸易出口
发展
export trade
economic growth
trade modes
general trade exports
development
