摘要
运用主成分分析法计算沿线亚洲国家的投资环境综合得分,得出各国直接投资风险等级。基于2007-2019年沿线亚洲42个国家政治风险和经济风险11个指标的面板数据进行实证分析。研究结果表明:东道国的监管质量、政府腐败、人均GDP和经常账户收支占GDP百分比对投资环境呈正向促进作用;而法治环境、通货膨胀对投资环境起负向影响作用;政府稳定性、政府效能、GDP增长率和FDI与投资环境没有显著关系。另外,高收入国家投资风险最低,中高等收入国家次之,中低和低收入国家投资风险较高。
The principal component analysis method is used to calculate the comprehensive scores of the investment environment of Asian countries along the Belt and Road, and the risk level of direct investment of each country is obtained. The empirical analysis is based on the panel data of 11 indicators of political risk and economic risk in 42 Asian countries along the line from 2007 to 2019. The results show that the host country’s regulatory quality, government corruption, per capita GDP and the percentage of current account income and expenditure in GDP have a positive effect on the investment environment. The legal environment and inflation have a negative impact on the investment environment. The government stability, government efficiency, GDP growth rate and FDI have no significant relationship with the investment environment. In addition, the investment risk of high income countries is the lowest, followed by middle and high income countries, and the investment risk in middle and low income countries and low income countries is higher.
作者
李伊
霍朝欢
LI Yi;HUO Zhaohuan
出处
《商业经济》
2023年第2期80-83,97,共5页
Business & Economy
基金
2019年国家社科基金项目:中国企业对“一带一路”沿线国家投资的风险传染机制研究(19XJY015)
广西高校人文社会科学重点研究基地“北部湾海洋发展研究中心”项目:越南深彻改革背景下深化广西重点开发开放试验区经贸合作研究(BHZKY202013)。
关键词
“一带一路”倡议
主成分分析法
直接投资风险
the Belt and Road initiative
principal component analysis
risk of direct investment
