摘要
随着我国数字产业化和产业数字化的快速发展,数字技术对产业变革的影响机制问题受到学者们普遍关注。梳理相关文献发现,数字技术对产业变革的影响在不同研究中存有差异。为明确数字技术对产业变革的影响机制,基于1990—2021年32篇文献的37个独立效应值,结合技术创新长波理论框架,综合运用元分析技术归纳识别出数字技术对产业变革的影响机制,并进一步分析异质性修正的调节效应。元分析结果表明,数字技术通过金融因素、创新因素、绩效因素、生产运作因素、就业因素、劳动力状况因素、政策因素7种作用机制对产业变革产生显著影响;与数字技术影响产业变革高度相关的具体机制维度要素包括技术创新能力、就业信息、代际差异、触网程度、就业质量、城乡收入、制度文化异质性、全要素生产率、要素错配;无论异质性程度如何,数字技术对产业变革影响的主效应与各影响机制的调节效应均显著相关。结论可为进一步深化相关纵向研究和情境化研究提供参考借鉴。
In the current era,digital technology has changed the production processes,business models and industrial organizations,and even subverted the basic assumptions of many innovative theories.Digital technology supports the development of industry,and its supporting ability plays a key role in the process of forming industrial change.Especially in today’s digital economy era,with the unpredictable market supply and demand and increasingly fierce competition among merchants,enterprises urgently need to keep exploring new market opportunities for profit growth and find a way that is in line with their own digital transformation in order to cope with the general trend of industrial change,and the use of digital technology plays an important role in this process.Therefore,it is a historical mission to explore how digital technology affects industrial change.What can be done to explore the influence mechanism of digital technology on industrial change?What are the common theories to explore the influence mechanism of digital technology on industrial change?Through what kind of mechanism does digital technology affect industrial change?What is the intensity of these influence mechanisms?Within the analytical framework of long-wave theory of technological innovation(technological innovation—organizational change—labor employment—government supervision-industrial reform),this paper explores the influence mechanism of digital technology on industrial change.First of all,the research hypothesis is deduced based on the relevant theory and research;secondly,the literature is screened and coded according to the research paradigm of meta-analysis technology.Finally,the meta-analysis is carried out,including publication bias analysis,main effect analysis,moderating effect analysis,multiple regression analysis and sensitivity analysis,etc.Firstly the influence mechanism of digital technology on industrial change consists of three levels::the organizational level includes financial factors,innovation factors,performance fact
作者
郑迪文
谢卫红
李忠顺
骆建彬
Zheng Diwen;Xie Weihong;Li Zhongshun;Luo Jianbin(School of Management,Guangdong University of Technology;School of Economics,Guangdong University of Technology,Guangzhou 510520,China)
出处
《科技进步与对策》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第5期64-74,共11页
Science & Technology Progress and Policy
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目(72274041)
广东省自然科学基金面上项目(2020A1515010971)。
关键词
数字技术
产业变革
元分析
产业数字化
Digital Technology
Industrial Change
Meta-analysis
Industrial Digitalization
