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人民币货币锚影响因素探究--基于“一带一路”沿线国家实证分析

Research on the Influencing Factors of RMB Currency Anchor--Based on the Empirical Analysis of Countries Along the“Belt and Road”
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摘要 党的二十大报告中提出的“有序推进人民币国际化”,是实施我国高水平对外开放的重要一环,是构建以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局在货币领域的具体体现。文章基于货币锚模型,横向比较美元、欧元、英镑、日元和人民币5种货币的锚效应,详尽分析了人民币货币锚影响因素。研究结果表明:自“一带一路”倡议实施以来,人民币影响力持续提升,但与主流货币仍存在一定差距。不同国家间的文化差异、双边贸易进出口额、双边货币互换额度对人民币国际化水平有着显著影响。 The“promotion of RMB internationalization”proposed in the report of the 20th National Congress is key to China’s high-level opening up to the outside world,and is a concrete embodiment of the new development pattern in the monetary field,which is dominated by the domestic circulation and promoted by the domestic and international dual circulation.Drawing on the currency anchor model,this paper aims to compare the anchor effect of five currencies,namely,the US dollar,the euro,the British pound,the Japanese yen and the Chinese yuan,and further analyzes the influencing factors of RMB currency anchor.The research results suggest that since the proposal of the“Belt and Road”,the status of RMB has continued to improve,but there is still a gap between RMB and mainstream currencies.Cultural differences,import and export volume of bilateral trade and the amount of bilateral currency swap all exert a significant impact on the internationalization of RMB.
作者 赵振宇 马海波 张晨鹏 Zhao Zhenyu;Ma Haibo;Zhang Chenpeng(School of Economics and Management,Ningxia University,Yinchuan 750000)
出处 《中阿科技论坛(中英文)》 2023年第2期11-16,共6页 China-Arab States Science and Technology Forum
基金 国家哲学社会科学基金一般项目“‘一带一路’沿线国家文化差异对投资效率的影响研究”(19BJY183) 宁夏高校优秀青年教师培育基金(NGY2018013)。
关键词 人民币国际化 货币锚模型 “一带一路” RMB internationalization Currency anchor model “Belt and Road”
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