摘要
降水是气候系统的重要气候要素和区域气候因子的集中体现,在气候变化的影响下,其发生规律和时空分布呈现出多样性和复杂性叠加的特点。西北地区东部这一气候单元气候特征独特,对气候变化敏感,区域内气候干旱、降水稀少及分布不均,对该区域进行夏季降水预测研究,可为农业生产布局、区域气候变化监测和防灾减灾决策提供科学依据。本文回顾西北地区东部夏季降水的研究情况,总结概括夏季降水预测的主要方法和基于人工智能技术的创新方法,并对该区域未来夏季降水预测研究进行展望,探讨可行的精准预测方法。
Precipitation is an important element of climate system and a concentrated reflection of regional climatic factors,whose occurrence law and spatiotenporal distribution show both diversity and complexity under the influence of climate change.The climatic unit of the east of Northwest China is with unique climate characteristics and sensitive to climate change.The climate is arid and the precipitation is scarce and unevenly distributed,which makes summer precipitation prediction research particularly important.The research on summer precipitation prediction in this region will provide scientific support for regional climate change monitoring and disaster prevention and mitigation decision-making.It reviews the research on summer precipitation in the east of Northwest China,summarizes the main methods of summer precipitation prediction and innovative methods based on artificial intelligence technology,and looks forward to the future research and discusses the feasible and accurate prediction methods in this region.
作者
刘嘉华
刘立波
Liu Jiahua;Liu Libo(School of Information Engineering,Ningxia University,Yinchuan 750021,China)
出处
《农业科学研究》
2022年第3期60-65,共6页
Journal of Agricultural Sciences
基金
宁夏重点研发计划项目(2020BFG02013)
宁夏自然科学基金项目(2020AAC03037)。
关键词
西北地区东部
夏季降水
气候预测
人工智能
the east of Northwest China
summer precipitation
climate prediction
artificial intelligence
