摘要
光伏发电技术作为最有前景的发电技术在全世界范围内迅猛发展。基于统计数据分析了世界能源结构的变化趋势,总结了我国光伏发电产业发展现状,讨论了开展光伏发电项目风险管理研究的必要性,概述了国内外关于项目风险管理理论研究的侧重点及主要成果,分析了光伏发电项目风险管理的研究现状。主要结论包括:世界能源结构正在从石油、煤炭等传统能源向新能源转型;我国光伏发电产业取得了突飞猛进的发展,但对于光伏发电建设工程项目的风险管理不够重视;国外学者对于项目风险管理的研究主要侧重于风险管理识别、风险分析模型构建、项目风险应对与控制等方面,国内相关研究与国外相比存在一定差距;工程采购与施工管理(engineering procurement construction management, EPCM)模式更适用于光伏发电建设项目的管理,有必要围绕EPCM模式下的光伏发电建设项目开展深入的项目风险研究。
As the most promising power generation technology, photovoltaic power generation technology is developing rapidly all over the world. This paper analyzes the changing trend of the world energy structure, summarizes the development status of China’s photovoltaic power generation industry, discusses the necessity of carrying out the research on the risk management of photovoltaic power generation projects, summarizes the focus and main achievements of the theoretical research on project risk management at home and abroad, and analyzes the research status of the risk management of photovoltaic power generation projects. The results suggest that the world energy structure is transforming from traditional energy such as oil and coal to new energy. China’s photovoltaic power generation industry has achieved rapid development, but it does not pay enough attention to the risk management of photovoltaic power generation construction projects. Foreign scholars’ research on project risk management mainly focuses on risk management identification, risk analysis model construction, project risk response and control, and there is a certain gap between domestic and foreign related research. Engineering procurement construction management(EPCM) mode is more suitable for the management of photovoltaic power generation construction projects, and it is necessary to carry out in-depth project risk research around the photovoltaic power generation construction projects under EPCM mode.
作者
张力琳
刘寅
董岁具
吕明旭
ZHANG Lilin;LIU Yin;DONG Suiju;LYU Mingxu(School of Energy and Environment,Zhongyuan University of Technology,Zhengzhou 450007,Henan Province,China;Zhengzhou Thermal Power Group Co.,Ltd.,Zhengzhou 450000,Henan Province,China)
出处
《分布式能源》
2022年第4期56-63,共8页
Distributed Energy
基金
河南省住房城乡建设科技计划项目(K-2145)
郑州市建设科技项目(202211)。
关键词
能源结构
光伏发电
项目管理
风险管理
energy structure
photovoltaic power generation
project management
risk management
