摘要
江苏省碳排放量呈现逐年递增的趋势,为了更好地实现节能减排,建立GM(1,1)预测模型,对20222026未来五年江苏省碳排放量进行预测。为了验证预测模型的准确性,利用GM(1,1)预测模型,对江苏省20002004年的碳排放进行了分析,结果表明相对误差的绝对值均小于0.05,由此验证了该模型的准确性。利用此模型,对20222026年江苏省碳排放量进行预测,为江苏省制定节能减排政策提供了科学依据与建议。
Carbon emission has gradually increased in Jiangsu Province.In order to better achieve energy conservation and emission reduction,the study establishes GM(1,1)forecast model,and forecasts carbon emission in Jiangsu Province from 2022 to 2026.In order to verify the accuracy of forecast model,the study uses GM(1,1)forecast model,and analyzes carbon emission in Jiangsu Province from 2000 to 2004.The results show that the absolute values of the error are less than 0.05,which verifies the accuracy of the model.The forecast of carbon emission of Jiangsu Province from 2022 to 2026 through the model has provided scientific reference and suggestions for the formulation of energy conservation and emission reduction policy in Jiangsu Province.
作者
黄昕怡
吴嘉仪
林文浩
吴秋霞
Huang Xinyi;Wu Jiayi;Lin Wenhao;Wu Qiuxia(College of Arts and Sciences,Suqian University,Suqian 223800,China;Zhejiang Ocean University,Zhoushan 316021,China)
出处
《黑龙江科学》
2022年第18期26-28,32,共4页
Heilongjiang Science
基金
国家级大学生创新创业训练计划项目(202010340042)
宿迁学院校级大学生创新创业训练计划项目(2022XSJ050Y)支持。
