摘要
产业转型升级是现代经济增长中区分发展中国家与发达国家的核心变量,政府的土地资源配置决策会引起产业结构与业态的演化,对产业转型升级产生重要影响。考察土地资源空间错配对城市产业转型升级的影响并刻画其具体作用机制,具有重要的政策意义。本文在系统地测度城市产业转型升级水平的基础上,构建空间面板计量模型与中介效应模型,从影响结果、影响机制2个维度,考察土地资源空间错配对城市产业转型升级的影响方式及其中间机制。研究发现:①土地资源空间错配对城市产业转型升级具有显著的负面影响。影响程度上,对土地供给相对短缺城市的影响大于土地供给相对过剩城市。结构层面上,在土地供给相对过剩的城市内,工业用地过剩的负面影响更为明显;在土地供给相对短缺的城市内,商住用地、工业用地短缺都有显著的负面影响。②对于土地供给相对过剩的城市,土地资源空间错配主要通过低端产业存活强化、制度环境破坏的中间机制,对城市产业转型升级产生负面影响。③对于土地供给相对短缺的城市,土地资源空间错配主要通过实体行业投融资挤出、居民需求与创新抑制的中间机制,对城市产业转型升级产生负面影响。本文研究结论的政策启示是,扎实稳步地推进土地资源空间错配的纠偏,是促进城市产业转型升级的有效措施与有力抓手。
Industrial transformation and upgrading is the core variable that distinguishes developing and developed countries in modern economic growth,and the government’s allocation of land resources will lead to the change of industrial structure and format,which has an important impact on industrial transformation and upgrading.Therefore,it is of great policy significance to investigate the impact of spatial mismatch of land resources on urban industrial transformation and upgrading and examine its specific mechanism.On the basis of systematically measuring the level of urban industrial transformation and upgrading,this study constructed a spatial panel econometric model and a mediation effect model to investigate the impact of land resources spatial mismatch on urban industrial transformation and upgrading,and analyzed its mediation mechanism from the two dimensions of impact results and impact mechanism.This study found that:(1)Land resources spatial mismatch has a significant negative impact on industrial transformation and upgrading.With regard to the extent of impact,the impact on cities with relative shortage of land supply is greater than that of cities with relative excess of land supply.At the structural level,for cities with relative excess land supply,the negative impact of relative excess industrial land on industrial transformation and upgrading is more obvious.For cities with relative shortage of land supply,the relative shortage of commercial and residential land or industrial land has a significant negative impact on industrial transformation and upgrading.(2)For cities with relative excess of land supply,the negative impact mainly occurs through the mediation mechanism of sustainance of lowend industry and institutional environment deterioration.(3)For cities with relative shortage of land supply,the negative impact mainly occurs through the mediation mechanism of crowding out of real industrial sector investment and financing,and residents’demand and innovation inhibition.The policy implication is
作者
彭山桂
孙昊
郭正宁
王健
PENG Shangui;SUN Hao;GUO Zhengning;WANG Jian(School of Economics and Management,Shandong Agricultural University,Tai’an 271018,China;School of Business,Shandong Normal University,Ji’nan 250358,China;College of Public Administration,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing 210095,China)
出处
《资源科学》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2022年第5期871-885,共15页
Resources Science
基金
国家自然科学基金青年项目(42101272)
山东省自然科学基金青年项目(ZR2021QD085)
中国博士后科学基金资助项目(2021M691608)
江苏省博士后科研资助计划项目(2021K118B)。
关键词
土地资源
空间错配
产业转型升级
影响
中间机制
空间面板计量模型
中介效应模型
中国
land resources
spatial mismatch
industrial transformation and upgrading
impact
mediation mechanism
spatial panel econometric model
mediation effect model
China
