摘要
以中国九个全球海洋中心城市为研究对象,对海洋中心城市高质量发展水平进行综合测度分析。选取2010—2019年相关数据,构建海洋中心城市高质量发展评价指标体系,运用熵值法等四种方法对指标体系进行联合评价、确定指标权重,得到综合评价结果,并进一步利用灰色预测模型对海洋中心城市的未来发展进行预测。研究结论如下:(1)全球海洋中心城市高质量发展水平总体呈现上升趋势,其中,上海市建设水平尤为突出,厦门市和舟山市增长较为迅猛,天津市和大连市增长缓慢,影响其海洋中心城市建设;(2)九个全球海洋中心城市高质量建设发展的侧重点各不相同,其中,大连市在创新性层面、上海市在开放度和集聚度层面、舟山市在协调性层面、厦门市在共享度层面、深圳市在辐射性层面表现突出。
Taking nine leading maritime capitals in China as the research object, this paper carries out a comprehensive measurement and analysis of high-quality development of the leading maritime capitals. Based on the selected data from 2010 to 2019, the paper constructs a high-quality development evaluation index system, which employs four methods such as entropy value method to give a joint evaluation of index system, and determine the weight of each index. Then the comprehensive evaluation results are obtained and the future development of the leading maritime capitals is predicted by using the grey prediction model. The results are as follows:(1) The overall high-quality development level of the nine cities shows an upward trend, especially the construction of Shanghai is outstanding. Xiamen and Zhoushan are growing rapidly while the Tianjin and Dalian are growing slowly, which affects their construction of the leading maritime capitals in China;(2) The nine cities have different emphasis on the development of high-quality construction, among which Dalian is outstanding in innovation, Shanghai in openness and concentration, Zhoushan in coordination, Xiamen in sharing, and Shenzhen in radiation.
作者
徐胜
高科
Xu Sheng;Gao Ke(School of Economics,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,China;Institute of Ocean Development,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,China)
出处
《中国海洋大学学报（社会科学版）》
2022年第4期1-13,共13页
Journal of Ocean University of China(Social Sciences)
基金
国家社会科学基金重大专项“新时代海洋强国指标体系与推进路径研究”(18VHQ083)。
关键词
全球海洋中心城市
高质量发展
联合评价
灰色预测
the leading maritime capitals of the world
high-quality development
joint evaluation
grey prediction
