摘要
为研究OFDI对中国碳排放的影响,使用2004—2019年省际空间面板数据对此进行了实证检验。SDM模型检验发现,OFDI会增加碳排放,且存在空间直接效应和空间溢出效应。稳定性检验证实了该结论。GTWR模型检验发现,OFDI对碳排放的影响存在明显的时空异质性:在碳排放时间演化检验中发现,OFDI增加碳排放的效应随着时间推移而逐年减弱,2016年以后,至少75%的省份OFDI导致碳排放显著减少,并且这种减少效应呈逐年增强趋势;在碳排放空间分布检验中发现,OFDI导致碳排放减少的省份随时间推移而不断增加,绝大多数省份OFDI导致碳排放减少的效果随时间推移而显著提高。为此,从研究期内综合整体看,OFDI会增加碳排放,但从时间演化和空间分布看,OFDI显著有利于抑制中国碳排放。
Inter-provincial spatial panel data from 2004-2019 are used to empirically test the impact of OFDI on carbon emissions in China.The SDM model test found that OFDI increases carbon emissions and that there is a direct spatial effect and a spatial spillover effect.The stability test confirmed the findings.The GTWR model found that there is significant spatial and temporal heterogeneity in the impact of OFDI on carbon emissions:in the time evolution test of carbon emissions,it was found that the effect of OFDI on carbon emissions decreases over time,and after 2016,at least 75%of provinces with OFDI led to a significant reduction in carbon emissions,and this reduction effect tends to increase year by year;the test of the spatial distribution of carbon emissions found that the provinces where OFDI led to a reduction in carbon emissions continued to increase over time,and the effect of OFDI leading to a reduction in carbon emissions increased significantly over time in the vast majority of provinces.From a comprehensive overall view of the study period,OFDI increases carbon emissions,but from the perspective of time evolution and spatial distribution,OFDI significantly contributes to curbing carbon emissions in China.
作者
张昌兵
华丽香
余梅丽
ZHANG Chang-bing;HUA Li-xiang;YU Mei-li(School of Economics,Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications,Nanjing,210023,China;School of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing,211106,China)
出处
《福建江夏学院学报》
2022年第2期9-21,共13页
Journal of Fujian Jiangxia University
基金
国家社科基金青年项目“‘一带一路’倡议下服务企业OFDI模式选择及生产率效应研究”(18CJY043)
教育部人文社会科学研究一般规划基金项目“美国能源独立战略意图实现中的大国博弈与中国对策研究”(20YJAGJW005)。
