摘要
根据中国光伏行业协会对“十四五”时期全球光伏发电年新增装机容量的预测数据,利用产业链的生产关系推导出了多晶硅、硅片、太阳电池和光伏组件环节的需求量,同时基于光伏产业链各环节的产能变化趋势,预测出了“十四五”时期各环节的产能和产量情况。通过对比以上需求量和产量,并结合市场规律及相关政策,分析了“十四五”时期中国光伏产业链各环节的供需情况。
According to the forecast of the annual new installed capacity of PV power generation in the world during the 14th Five-Year Plan period,this paper uses the production relationship of the industrial chain to deduce the demand for polysilicon,silicon wafers,solar cells and PV modules.Based on the changing trend of production capacity in each link of the industrial chain,the production capacity and output of each link during the 14th Five-Year Plan period are predicted.By comparing the above demand and output,combined with market laws and the impact of relevant policies,the supply and demand of each link of China PV industry chain during the 14th Five-Year Plan period in China is analyzed.
作者
王青
孙頔
江华
Wang Qing;Sun Di;Jiang Hua(China Photovoltaic Industry Association,Beijing 100846,China;China Center for Information Industry Development,Beijing 100846,China)
出处
《太阳能》
2022年第4期5-12,共8页
Solar Energy
关键词
“十四五”时期
光伏产业链
供需
多晶硅
硅片
太阳电池
光伏组件
预测
the 14th Five-Year Plan period
PV industry chain
supply and demand
polysilicon
wafer
solar cell
PV module
forecast