摘要
自2016年下半年以来,我国国内各类纸及纸制品价格均出现大幅波动。为分析影响我国纸及纸制品市场价格波动的因素,从我国国内生产总值(GDP)、人民币汇率、木浆进口量、木材产量、废纸进口量、纸及纸制品进口量以及出口量等7个方面入手,建立多元线性回归模型,对影响我国纸及纸制品市场价格波动的因素进行实证分析。回归结果表明,影响我国纸及纸制品市场价格的主要因素是我国GDP、每年木浆进口量和废纸进口量三个方面。并对造纸企业应对纸及纸制品价格波动提出建议。
In recent years, the market price of paper and paper products in my country has fluctuated violently. Since the second half of 2016, the prices of various domestic paper and paper products have fluctuated significantly. In order to further analyze the factors that affect the price fluctuations of China’s paper and paper products market, the following seven aspects are studied:: China’s GDP, RMB exchange rate, wood pulp imports, timber output, waste paper imports, paper and paper products imports and exports.Establish a multiple linear regression model, and make an empirical analysis of the factors that affect the price fluctuations of China’s paper and paper products market.The regression results show that the main factors affecting the market price of paper and paper products in my country are my country’s GDP, the annual volume of imported wood pulp and the amount of waste paper. In addition,suggestions are put forward for papermaking enterprises to deal with the price fluctuation of paper and paper products.
作者
王海刚
熊延泓
朱梦琳
WANG Hai-gang;XIONG Yan-hong;ZHU Meng-Lin(College of economics and management,Shanxi University of Science and Technologyi Xi'an,Shaanxi Province,710021 China)
出处
《纸和造纸》
2021年第6期16-20,共5页
Paper and Paper Making
基金
国家社科基金项目“西部地区传统产业生态化发展研究”(项目编号:14XJY007)。
关键词
纸及纸制品
市场价格波动
实证分析
paper and paper products
market price fluctuations
empirical analysis
