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碳中和方案对民航经济性的影响研究

Research on Impact of Carbon Neutral Program on Civil Aviation Economy
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摘要 在各个行业当中,碳排放主要是来自化石燃料的燃烧,其中航空航天领域燃油燃烧所产生的二氧化碳量占民航总体碳排放量的九成以上。为探究碳中和方案对民航经济性的影响,通过构建民航经济性影响因素分析模型、选择碳中和方案对民航经济性影响评价指标、基于回归计算的民航经济发展结果分析,提出一种全新的定量分析方法。通过该分析方法对三种不同方案下的民航经济性影响分析,得出的量化结果与实际各特性参数变化情况相符,进一步证明了该方法的应用可行性。 Among various industries,carbon emissions mainly come from the combustion of fossil fuels.Among them,the amount of carbon dioxide produced by the combustion of fuel in the aerospace sector accounts for more than 90%of the total carbon emissions of civil aviation.In order to explore the impact of the carbon neutral program on the economics of civil aviation,this study builds an analysis model of the factors affecting the economics of civil aviation,selecting the evaluation indicators of the impact of the carbon neutral program on the economics of civil aviation,and analyzing the results of civil aviation economic development based on regression calculations.A new kind of analysis is proposed based on quantitative analysis method.It analyzes the economic impact of civil aviation under three different schemes.The quantitative results obtained are consistent with the actual changes of various characteristic parameters,which further proves the feasibility of the application of this method.
作者 高飞 Gao Fei(Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China,Shanghai 200126,China)
出处 《环境科学与管理》 CAS 2021年第12期63-66,共4页 Environmental Science and Management
关键词 碳中和 经济性 定量分析 carbon neutrality economy quantitative analysis
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