摘要
【目的】基于森林碳汇的解决方法,是实现"2030年碳达峰""2060年碳中和"目标的重要手段。农户是碳汇林经营者,研究风险态度和风险感知对农户碳汇林流转意愿的影响,对森林碳汇项目的可持续开展和推进有重要意义。【方法】基于浙江省遂昌县、景宁畲族自治县国家核证自愿减排量(CCER)竹林经营碳汇项目已参与农户的实地调查数据,在定性分析风险态度和风险感知对碳汇林流转意愿影响的基础上,运用二元Logistics模型和中介效应模型进行实证检验。【结果】(1)84.32%的农户愿意转入更多的碳汇林经营,10.36%的农户愿意转出已经营的碳汇林,5.33%的农户愿意维持现状;从分类型看,风险偏好型农户愿意转入的比例最高,为96.67%,风险厌恶型农户愿意转出的比例最高,为15.95%;在风险感知方面,经营风险、市场风险、政策风险及自然风险感知低的农户愿意转入的比例均高于88.00%,而不愿意转出的比例均高于92.00%。(2)从实证结果看,风险态度对农户碳汇林转入意愿在5%的水平下显著正向影响,对农户碳汇林转出意愿在5%的水平下显著负向影响。经营风险、市场风险、政策风险感知对农户碳汇林转入意愿分别在10%、1%、5%的水平下显著负向影响,对农户碳汇林转出意愿分别在10%、1%、1%水平下显著正向影响。(3)市场风险感知在风险态度与碳汇林流转意愿之间存在显著的中介效应。【结论】农户森林碳汇项目参与的积极性整体较高;风险偏好型农户相对于风险厌恶型农户转入意愿更高、转出意愿越低;经营风险、市场风险、政策风险感知越高的农户转入意愿越弱、转出意愿越强。图1表5参19。
[Objective] The solution based on forest carbon sequestration is an important means to achieve the goals of "carbon peak by 2030" and "carbon neutral by 2060". The objective of this study is to investigate the impact of farmers’ risk attitude and risk perception on their willingness to transfer carbon sequestration forests,which is of great significance for sustainable development and promotion of forest carbon sequestration projects. [Method] Based on the field survey data of farmers involved in CCER(China Certified Emission Reduction) bamboo forest management carbon sequestration projects in Suichang and Jingning, Zhejiang Province, the impact of risk attitude and risk perception on their transfer intention of carbon sink forest was qualitatively analyzed, and the binary Logistics model and mediating effect model were used for empirical test.[Result](1)In general, 84.32% of farmers were willing to transfer to more carbon sequestration forests, 10.36%were willing to transfer out of the carbon sequestration forests, and 5.33% were willing to maintain the status quo. In terms of classification, the proportion of risk preference farmers willing to transfer in was as high as96.67%, and the proportion of risk aversion farmers willing to transfer out was 15.95%. In terms of risk perception, 88.00% of farmers with low perception of management risk, market risk, policy risk and natural risk were willing to transfer in, while 92.00% were not willing to transfer out.(2) According to the empirical results,the risk attitude had a significant positive impact on farmers’ willingness to transfer in carbon sequestration forests at the level of 5%, and had a significant negative effect on farmers’ willingness to transfer out carbon sequestration forests at the level of 5%. Management risk, market risk, and policy risk perception had a significant negative impact on farmers’ willingness to transfer carbon sequestration forests at the levels of 10%,1%, and 5% respectively, and a significant positive impact on their willing
作者
陈伟
顾蕾
冯贻勇
朱爱琴
朱玮强
CHEN Wei;GU Lei;FENG Yiyong;ZHU Aiqin;ZHU Weiqiang(College of Economics and Management,Zhejiang A&F University,Hangzhou 311300,Zhejiang,China;Zhejiang Rural Vitalization Research Institute,Zhejiang A&F university,Hangzhou 311300,Zhejiang,China;Zhejiang Key Laboratory of Forest Ecosystem Carbon Cycle and Carbon Fixation and Emission Reduction,Zhejiang A&F University,Hangzhou 311300,Zhejiang,China;Agricultural Comprehensive Service Center of Yongquan Town,Linhai City,Zhejiang Province,Linhai 317021,Zhejiang,China;College of Economics and Management,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing 210095,Jiangsu,China)
出处
《浙江农林大学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2021年第6期1270-1278,共9页
Journal of Zhejiang A&F University
基金
国家社会科学基金资助项目(18BGL174)
国家自然科学基金资助项目(71873126)
浙江省自然科学基金重点资助项目(LZ19G030001)。
关键词
风险态度
风险感知
碳汇林流转
中介效应
risk attitude
risk perception
carbon sequestration forests transfer
mediation effect
