摘要
文章采用中国及阿根廷与其主要贸易伙伴2008年至2017年的贸易数据,建立随机前沿引力模型,探究并比较了能够对中国与阿根廷之间的贸易效率与潜力产生影响的因素,同时采用OLS估计和MLE估计,探究了对中国和阿根廷双边贸易产生影响的一些因素。实验结果表明,中国和阿根廷的贸易往来十分频繁,发展比较迅速,但是近年来的贸易效率有所下降,贸易效率有待提高,中国和阿根廷仍有较大的贸易潜力。研究显示中国和阿根廷的贸易容易受到贸易自由度、金融自由度以及两国之间是否签署自由贸易协定的影响。除此之外,中国和阿根廷之间的双边贸易还受到许多因素的制约,比如两国首都之间的直线距离和两国之间是否有共同语言等因素。
Using the trade data of China,Argentina and their main trading partners from 2008 to 2017,this paper establishes a stochastic frontier gravity model,explores and compares the factors that can affect the trade efficiency and potential between China and Argentina,and explores some factors that affect the bilateral trade between China and Argentina by using OLS estimation and MLE estimation.The experimental results show that the trade between China and Argentina is very frequent and develops rapidly,but the trade efficiency has decreased in recent years,the trade efficiency needs to be improved,and China and Argentina still have great trade potential.Research shows that the trade between China and Argentina is vulnerable to trade freedom,financial freedom and whether the two countries sign a free trade agreement.In addition,the bilateral trade between China and Argentina is also restricted by many factors,such as the straight-line distance between the two capitals and whether there is a common language between the two countries.
作者
郑瑞
Zheng Rui(School of Business Administration,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,Wuhan 430073,China)
出处
《中南财经政法大学研究生论丛》
2021年第5期43-52,共10页
Journal of the Postgraduates of Zhongnan University of Economics and Law
关键词
随机前沿引力模型
中国与阿根廷
贸易效率
贸易潜力
Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model
China and Argentina
Trade Efficiency
Trade Potential
