摘要
文章采用2012年、2015年和2018年中国投入产出表数据,运用投入产出模型及产业关联效应结构分解方法,分析了中国会展产业与其他产业之间的关联效应演化特征及其内在结构,结果发现:会展产业与其他产业之间的产业关联总效应不断攀升,且均呈现先升后降的"倒V"型变化趋势。其中,溢出效应是会展产业关联总效应变化的关键,乘数效应是其他产业关联总效应变化的核心,而反馈效应则对会展产业及其他产业的关联总效应贡献较弱。会展产业系统相关部门之间的产业关联效应存在较大差异。其中,住宿和餐饮、造纸印刷和文教体育用品等部门的关联总效应最大,而废品废料等部门的关联总效应最低;旅游文化体育和娱乐部门的溢出效应是废品废料部门的近5倍;会展产业及其他产业的反馈效应总体上低于溢出效应和乘数效应。
Based on the input-output table data of 2012, 2015 and 2018, this paper uses the input-output model and the structural decomposition method of industrial linkage effect to analyze the evolution characteristics and internal structure of linkage effect between China’s MICE industry and other industries. The results are shown as follows: The total industrial linkage effect between MICE industry and other industries keeps rising, showing an inverted"V"trend of first rising and then falling, in which the spillover effect is the key to the change of the total linkage effect of MICE industry, and the multiplier effect is the core of the change of the total linkage effect of other industries, while the feedback effect makes a weak contribution to the total linkage effect of MICE industry and other industries. There are great differences in industrial linkage effect among relevant departments of MICE industry system, in which the sectors of accommodation and catering, paper printing and cultural and educational sports goods have the highest total linkage effect, while waste and scrap sectors have the lowest total linkage effect. The spillover effects in tourism, culture, sports and recreation sector are nearly five times higher than in the waste and scrap sector. The feedback effect of MICE industry and other industries is generally lower than the spillover effect and multiplier effect.
作者
叶前林
任娜
刘雨辰
刘海玉
Ye Qianlin;Ren Na;Liu Yuchen;Liu Haiyu(School of Business,Jiangxi University nf Science and Technology,Nanrhang 330013,China)
出处
《统计与决策》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第19期48-52,共5页
Statistics & Decision
基金
江西省高校人文社会科学研究规划项目(JJ17111)。
关键词
投入产出模型
会展产业
关联效应分解
input-output model
MICE industry
decomposition of linkage effect
