摘要
既有研究指出纵向获得感是中国快速现代化进程中协调不平等与社会稳定关系,连接中国经济快速发展奇迹和社会长期稳定奇迹的关键因素,但是对公众的纵向获得感如何产生的问题,相关讨论尚不充分。文章认为,福利再分配改革或者说定向社会保护作为快速经济发展的补充,可以带来公众的纵向获得感,最终促进社会稳定。文章以2004~2006年各省分阶段实施的免征农业税改革为契机,结合2004~2011年的四项全国代表性调查,应用三重差分设计实证考察了免征农业税改革对改革省份农民群体的因果干预效应。结果表明,无论是定性还是定量的农业税改革测量方案都显示,改革显著提高了农民的纵向获得感,并且改革效应至少持续到2008年。研究发现指明了再分配改革带来的公众纵向获得感提高是改革实现稳定的重要微观机制,也为政策评估提供了客观指标之外的关键主观评估指标。
Existing studies have pointed out that temporal relative acquisition is a key factor in coordinating the relationship between inequality and social stability in the process of China’s rapid modernization,and connecting the miracle of rapid economic development and long-term social stability.However,there are insufficient studies on how the public’s temporal relative acquisition is generated.This paper argues that welfare redistribution reform or targeted social protection,as a supplement to rapid economic development,can provide the public with temporal relative acquisition and ultimately promote social stability.Taking the rural tax reform,which implemented in various provinces in stages from 2004 to 2006,as an opportunity,this paper combines with four national representative surveys from 2004 to 2011,and uses a difference in difference in difference model to empirically examine the causal effect of the rural tax reform on the reformed provinces’farmer groups.The results show that both qualitative and quantitative measurement of rural tax reform has significantly improved farmers’temporal relative acquisition,and the reform effect will last until at least 2008.The findings shed light on the micro-mechanism of how reforms can achieve social stability,and they also provide key subjective evaluation indicators in addition to objective indicators for policy evaluation.
作者
季程远
Ji Chengyuan(School of International and Public Affairs,Shanghai Jiao Tong University,Shanghai)
出处
《经济社会体制比较》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第5期29-40,共12页
Comparative Economic & Social Systems
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“政治心理视角下获得感促进政治稳定的实现机制研究”(项目编号:19CZZ012)
上海市“浦江人才”计划“获得感促进政治稳定的实现机制研究”(项目编号:2019PJC065)。
关键词
再分配改革
获得感
农业税
社会稳定
三重差分模型
Redistribution Reform
Temporal Relative Acquisition
Rural Tax
Social Stability
Difference in Difference in Difference
